ALAB
Some scores are at the bottom of their range
This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.
- Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -60.1
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +62.6% · range 100.27–483.02
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | 18.4% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | 20.8% |
| FCF / revenue | 37.5% |
| Gross margin | 75.1% |
| ROIC | 12.4% |
| Forward P/E | 45.4 |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).
Price vs Earnings growth
Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +143.3pp
Confidence 95.0/100
Drivers
| Forward EPS growth | +205.9% |
|---|---|
| Trailing price return (1y) | +62.6% |
| Forward P/E compression | +67.3% |
Figures
| Trailing EPS | 2.09 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 6.39 |
| Trailing P/E | 138.90 |
| Forward P/E | 45.41 |
Revisions
Stable (-0.0%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.
Reported earnings
Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (-1.77–0.50, own scale) Derived Q4
11 quarters to Q1 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The baseline is zero — bars below it are losses. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | EPS reported | vs consensus | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 308.36m | +93.4% | 80.31m | 0.44 | 0.61 | +11.6% | 2026-05-06 |
| 2025-12-31 (derived) | 270.58m | — | 44.98m | 0.25 | 0.58 | +10.6% | 2026-02-20 |
| 2025-09-30 | 230.57m | +103.9% | 91.11m | 0.50 | 0.49 | +23.3% | 2025-11-05 |
| 2025-06-30 | 191.93m | +149.7% | 51.22m | 0.29 | — | — | 2025-08-06 |
| 2025-03-31 | 159.44m | +144.3% | 31.82m | 0.18 | — | — | 2025-05-07 |
| 2024-09-30 | 113.09m | +206.2% | -7.59m | -0.05 | — | — | 2024-11-05 |
| 2024-06-30 | 76.85m | +619.0% | -7.55m | -0.05 | — | — | 2024-08-07 |
| 2024-03-31 | 65.26m | +269.4% | -93.00m | -1.77 | — | — | 2024-05-08 |
| 2023-09-30 | 36.93m | — | -3.12m | -0.08 | — | — | 2024-11-05 |
| 2023-06-30 | 10.69m | — | -20.00m | -0.55 | — | — | 2024-08-07 |
| 2023-03-31 | 17.66m | — | -17.45m | -0.49 | — | — | 2024-05-08 |
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Growing — shares issued |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 181.2M as at 2026-03-31 |
| Change over 1 year | +1.7% |
| Public float | $13.20bn as at 2025-06-30 (10-K) |
History before 2024-06-30 is not shown. The share count jumps at that date by a ratio no ordinary issuance produces — a split whose factor is not in Brown Bear's split store — so earlier figures are on a different basis and cannot be compared with today's.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Fair Value Anchor |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 232.22 — 291.75 |
| Protective stop | 213.58 (Atr, 18.5% risk) |
| Support | — (0 touches, — away) |
| Resistance | 354.26 (22.0% away) |
Takeaway The shares are about 22.0% below 354.26, where sellers have turned up before. There is no floor to point to in the recent record. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 18.5% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 8/22/45 (86% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud thickness | 90% percentile (thick — substantial structure) |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 313.74 to 372.04. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +11.6% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -10.8% |
| 126 days | +126.5% |
| 252 days | +66.7% |
| Below 252d high | 39.9% |
Trend context
| Position | Far above trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Extremely extended |
| Trend slope | Rising |
| Direction of travel | Holding its deviation |
Takeaway Extreme upside extension above Kalman fair trend; entry risk is elevated.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 26.8% of price |
| Recent tightest | 26.8% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 81.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 268.82 — 352.06 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 27% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 81% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger RSI recovery above 50 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Deteriorating rapidly
- Trigger 2 MACD histogram acceleration turns positive secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Improving
- Trigger 3 Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 EMA20 reclaim +5.2% gap is improving; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Relative strength stabilisation state change relative momentum rank supports RS stabilisation; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | Insider selling |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 146 |
| Shares sold | 396,745 |
| Value sold | $155.0m |
| Latest sell | 2026-08-17 |
| Filed | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Sold Gajendra SanjayPresident and COO | 578 | $203,517 |
| 2026-08-17 | Sold Gajendra SanjayPresident and COO | 1,049 | $368,453 |
| 2026-08-17 | Sold Gajendra SanjayPresident and COO | 1,984 | $692,800 |
| 2026-08-17 | Sold Gajendra SanjayPresident and COO | 1,057 | $367,884 |
| 2026-08-17 | Sold Gajendra SanjayPresident and COO | 3,500 | $1,214,551 |
| 2026-08-17 | Sold Gajendra SanjayPresident and COO | 2,525 | $873,972 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Below its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.
Options Positioning
No binary-event flag
ALAB: no binary-event flag. Near IV 84%, far IV 86% (ratio 0.98), implied move 10.5%.
| Implied volatility | 84% near (9d) · 86% far (86d) |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 0.98× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 105% |
| Implied vs historical | 0.80× |
| Implied move | ±10.5% by 2026-09-04 |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.53× |
| Skew | Flat (1.03×) |
| Put wall | 65.00 (-77.6% away) |
| Gamma pin | 100.00 |
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 10.5% in either direction by 2026-09-04.
Chain as at 2026-08-26. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 33.5/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 33.5 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 64.7 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Lagging | 98.2 | 86.2 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 100.8 | 83.2 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 103.8 | 79.2 |
Direction of travel: South-East / trend strong but momentum cooling
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 6/9 (+21.4)
- Altman Z-score 179.96 (+14.3)
- Insider conviction score (+17.7)
- Gross margin quality: 75.1% (+16.2)
- ROIC quality: 12.4% (+5.0)
- FCF margin quality: 37.5% (+16.0)
- ROIC improving by 24.4 pts (+8.0)
- FCF margin improving by 3.0 pts (+1.6)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.065) (+4.0)
- Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.65 (+12.0)
- Track 1: ADX 14.6 and rising (+2.0)
- Track 1: relative momentum rank 0.91 (+5.0)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.26 (+5.9)
- Regime convergence: TREND_EXHAUSTION confidence 60.4/100 (EMERGING) (-12.1)
Negative signals
- Underperforming sector over 20 days
- Track 1: weak MACD histogram (-1.79)
- Track 1: weak volume confirmation (0.43x average)
- Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
- Track 1: bearish DI spread (-10.2)
- Track 1: price below EMA20 by 5.0%
- Track 1: EMA20 slope deteriorating -4.1%
- Track 1: MACD histogram deteriorating (-1.61)
- Track 1: weak MACD line/signal structure (-5.0)
- Track 1: MACD slope deteriorating (-5.0)
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 28.7, 5-day change -18.5
- Track 1: weak VPT confirmation (-0.01)
- Track 1: price below EMA50 by 7.9%
- Track 1: EMA50 slope deteriorating -2.8%
- Gross margin improving by -1.2 pts (+-2.4)
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.