ARM
Some scores are at the bottom of their range
This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.
- Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -3.6
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +79.0% · range 104.55–439.46
Score trends appear once the scores have been recorded on more than one trading day.
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / revenue | — |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.0% |
| ROIC | 0.0% |
| Forward P/E | 82.0 |
No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.
Price vs Earnings growth
Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +118.2pp
Confidence 95.0/100
Drivers
| Forward EPS growth | +197.2% |
|---|---|
| Trailing price return (1y) | +79.0% |
| Forward P/E compression | +66.3% |
Figures
| Trailing EPS | 1.03 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 3.06 |
| Trailing P/E | 243.75 |
| Forward P/E | 82.02 |
Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Fair Value Anchor |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 208.78 — 252.32 |
| Protective stop | 195.32 (Atr, 15.3% risk) |
| Support | 242.31 (2 touches, 3.6% away) |
| Resistance | 289.60 (15.4% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 3.6% above 242.31, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 15.4% below 289.60, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 15.3% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 8/23/46 (89% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud thickness | 71% percentile |
| Chikou span | Not clear of price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 265.70 to 304.60. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +2.6% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -17.1% |
| 126 days | +90.6% |
| 252 days | +82.2% |
| Below 252d high | 42.9% |
Trend context
| Position | Far above trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Extremely extended |
| Trend slope | Rising |
| Direction of travel | Converging back to trend |
Takeaway Extreme upside extension above Kalman fair trend; entry risk is elevated.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 26.3% of price |
| Recent tightest | 26.3% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 85.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 226.29 — 294.80 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 26% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 85% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger Relative momentum leadership holds already satisfied Track 2 pathway: relative momentum leadership is already present; maintaining it supports upgrade pressure · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 RSI recovery above 50 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Deteriorating rapidly
- Trigger 3 EMA20 reclaim +3.7% gap is improving · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 MACD bullish crossover secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.
Options Positioning
No binary-event flag
ARM: no binary-event flag. Near IV 69%, far IV 71% (ratio 0.97), implied move 8.2%.
| Implied volatility | 69% near (8d) · 71% far (85d) |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 0.97× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 77% |
| Implied vs historical | 0.90× |
| Implied move | ±8.2% by 2026-09-04 |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.53× |
| Skew | Call Skew (0.88×) |
| Call wall | 320.00 (+27.8% away) |
| Put wall | 200.00 (-20.1% away) |
| Gamma pin | 320.00 |
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 8.2% in either direction by 2026-09-04.
Chain as at 2026-08-27. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 41.7/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 41.7 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 85.1 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 107.3 | 86.3 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 106.7 | 82.7 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 103.8 | 79.2 |
Direction of travel: South-East / trend strong but momentum cooling
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
- Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
- Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
- Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.48 (+30.2)
- Track 2: bullish DI spread 4.9 (+2.9)
- Track 2: ADX 20.2 and flat (+4.8)
- Track 2: relative momentum rank 0.94 (+13.8)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.36 (+2.8)
Negative signals
- Track 2: weak MACD histogram (-0.67)
- Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-7.0)
- Track 2: negative MACD regime (-3.7)
- Track 2: MACD slope deteriorating (-3.7)
- Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.83x average)
- Track 2: Hidden Bearish MACD divergence
- Track 2: price below EMA20 by 3.6%
- Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -3.7%
- Track 2: MACD histogram deteriorating (-1.72)
- Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 29.3, 5-day change -23.9
- Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (0.00)
- Track 2: price below EMA50 by 8.2%
- Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -3.3%
- FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
- Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.