CLS

Celestica ·Technology
316.82 live · 2026-08-27 14:55

Some scores are at the bottom of their range

This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.

  • Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -18.5
1.8%
Brown Bear Score
10.3%
Business Conviction Score
15.3%
Position Health Score
25.5%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +54.7% · range 194.75–472.40

Score trends appear once the scores have been recorded on more than one trading day.

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / revenue
Gross margin 0.0%
ROIC 0.0%
Forward P/E 15.7

No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.

Price vs Earnings growth

Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +47.8pp

Confidence 95.0/100

Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyAt Support Zone
Reference band 287.97 — 296.70
Protective stop 252.89 (Atr, 13.5% risk)
Support 290.88 (2 touches, 5.7% away)
Resistance 308.24 (0.3% away)

Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 0.3% below 308.24, where sellers have turned up before, and 5.7% above 290.88, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 13.5% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice BELOW the cloud | periods 8/24/48 (92% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BULL (fresh up, 1d ago)
Cloud thickness10% percentile (thin — little structure to fight through)
Chikou spanNot clear of price from 26 periods ago
Weekly cloudPrice BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored)

Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 337.88 to 338.90. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.

Trailing returns

21 days -12.2%
63 days -14.1%
126 days +4.5%
252 days +59.3%
Below 252d high34.9%

Trend context

PositionFar above trend
ExtensionExtremely extended
Trend slopeRising
Direction of travelConverging back to trend

Takeaway Extreme upside extension above Kalman fair trend; entry risk is elevated.

Volatility

State No recent compression
Current band width28.0% of price
Recent tightest21.0% (7 sessions ago, narrower than 70.0% of its history)
Expansion since1.34×
Band 279.39 — 370.51

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 28% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.

Repair Pathway

  1. Nearest Trigger RSI recovery above 50 +2.9 pts gap is improving · Improving
  2. Trigger 2 Relative momentum leadership holds already satisfied Track 2 pathway: relative momentum leadership is already present; maintaining it supports upgrade pressure · Broadly stable
  3. Trigger 3 MACD bullish crossover repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Improving
  4. Trigger 4 EMA20 reclaim +3.9% gap is improving · Broadly stable
  5. Trigger 5 MACD histogram above zero secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Improving

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityInsider selling
Buy filings0
Sell filings6
Shares sold23,496
Value sold$8.5m
Latest sell2026-08-13
FiledInsiderSharesValue
2026-08-13 Sold MIONIS ROBERTChief Executive Officer 5,554 $2,001,495
2026-08-13 Sold MIONIS ROBERTChief Executive Officer 4,941 $1,785,875

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Below its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.

Options Positioning

No binary-event flag

CLS: no binary-event flag. Near IV 69%, far IV 70% (ratio 0.99), implied move 8.6%.

Implied volatility 69% near (9d) · 70% far (86d)
Term structure 0.99× near/far
Historical volatility 87%
Implied vs historical 0.79×
Implied move ±8.6% by 2026-09-04
Implied move vs ATR 0.56×
Skew Flat (1.11×)
Call wall 660.00 (+114.8% away)
Gamma pin 660.00

Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 8.6% in either direction by 2026-09-04.

Chain as at 2026-08-26. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Repair Attempt

Rotation health 30.2/100; Negative Rotation.

Rotation health 30.2
Rotation strength 67.8
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Lagging 90.3 96.0
Stock vs SPY Lagging 90.7 89.2
Sector vs SPY Weakening 103.8 79.2

Direction of travel: North-West / early recovery

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
  • Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
  • Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
  • Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.04 (+6.0)
  • Track 2: bullish DI spread 3.9 (+2.9)
  • Track 2: ADX 13.2 and rising (+1.9)
  • Track 2: relative momentum rank 0.89 (+12.5)
  • Track 2: RSI trend quality 47.1, 5-day change +8.6 (+6.6)
  • Track 2: Bollinger position 0.31 (+2.4)
  • Regime convergence: SUPPORT_RESISTANCE_BOUNCE confidence 60.0/100 (EMERGING) (+12.0)

Negative signals

  • Underperforming sector over 20 days
  • Track 2: weak MACD histogram (-1.91)
  • Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-5.6)
  • Track 2: negative MACD regime (-3.7)
  • Track 2: MACD slope deteriorating (-3.7)
  • Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.53x average)
  • Track 2: price below EMA20 by 3.7%
  • Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -3.4%
  • Track 2: MACD histogram deteriorating (-0.35)
  • Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (-0.02)
  • Track 2: price below EMA50 by 8.0%
  • Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -3.0%
  • FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
  • Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.

Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.