COR

Cencora, Inc. ·NYSE·Healthcare
313.97 live · 2026-08-12 15:59
43.1%
Brown Bear Score
16.0%
Business Conviction Score
67.3%
Position Health Score
12.1%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +8.7% · range 252.74–374.75

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / assets 4.2%
OCF / assets 5.1%
FCF / revenue 1.2%
Gross margin 4.0%
ROIC 14.3%
Forward P/E 15.8

FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).

Price vs Earnings growth

Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +38.7pp

Confidence 95.0/100

Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.

Reported earnings

Next report 2026-11-03 after the close · consensus EPS 4.63

Q2 23 revenue: 66.95bnQ2 23 net income: 479.58mQ2 23 EPS: 2.35Q3 23 revenue: 68.92bnQ3 23 net income: 350.56mQ3 23 EPS: 1.71Q3 23Q4 23 revenue: 72.25bnQ4 23 net income: 601.50mQ4 23 EPS: 2.98Q1 24 revenue: 68.41bnQ1 24 net income: 420.77mQ1 24 EPS: 2.09Q1 24Q2 24 revenue: 74.24bnQ2 24 net income: 483.46mQ2 24 EPS: 2.42Q3 24 revenue: 79.05bnQ3 24 net income: 3.38mQ3 24 EPS: 0.02Q3 24Q4 24 revenue: 81.49bnQ4 24 net income: 488.60mQ4 24 EPS: 2.50Q1 25 revenue: 75.45bnQ1 25 net income: 717.87mQ1 25 EPS: 3.68Q1 25Q2 25 revenue: 80.66bnQ2 25 net income: 687.40mQ2 25 EPS: 3.52Q3 25 revenue: 83.73bnQ3 25 net income: -339.70mQ3 25 EPS: -1.74Q3 25Q4 25 revenue: 85.93bnQ4 25 net income: 559.65mQ4 25 EPS: 2.87Q1 26 revenue: 78.36bnQ1 26 net income: 1.64bnQ1 26 EPS: 8.40Q1 26

Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (-1.74–8.40, own scale) Derived Q4

12 quarters to Q1 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The baseline is zero — bars below it are losses. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.

Quarter endingRevenueYoY Net incomeEPS (GAAP) EPS reportedvs consensus Filed
2026-03-31 78.36bn +3.8% 1.64bn 8.40 4.75 -2.3% 2026-05-06
2025-12-31 85.93bn +5.5% 559.65m 2.87 4.08 +0.0% 2026-02-04
2025-09-30 (derived) 83.73bn +5.9% -339.70m -1.74 3.84 +0.4% 2025-11-25
2025-06-30 80.66bn +8.7% 687.40m 3.52 2025-08-06

Earnings response

Typical move around a filing ±4.8%
On an ordinary two days ±1.1% — filings move it 4.4× as much
Direction 4 up, 7 down over 11 filings
Revenue change and price reaction, by quarter
Q4 22 revenue +5.4% year on yearQ4 22 filed 2023-02-01: price -6.2%Q1 23 revenue +9.9% year on yearQ1 23 filed 2023-05-02: price +0.1%Q1 23Q2 23 revenue +11.5% year on yearQ2 23 filed 2023-08-02: price +1.2%Q4 23 revenue +15.0% year on yearQ4 23 filed 2024-01-31: price +7.4%Q4 23Q1 24 revenue +7.8% year on yearQ1 24 filed 2024-05-01: price -6.0%Q2 24 revenue +10.9% year on yearQ2 24 filed 2024-07-31: price +5.8%Q2 24Q4 24 revenue +12.8% year on yearQ4 24 filed 2025-02-05: price -2.2%Q1 25 revenue +10.3% year on yearQ1 25 filed 2025-05-07: price -2.4%Q1 25Q2 25 revenue +8.7% year on yearQ2 25 filed 2025-08-06: price -4.8%Q4 25 revenue +5.5% year on yearQ4 25 filed 2026-02-04: price -2.7%Q4 25Q1 26 revenue +3.8% year on yearQ1 26 filed 2026-05-06: price -16.4%

Revenue up year on year Revenue down Price move around the filing separate scales — a crossing means nothing

Quarter endingFiledRevenue YoY Move around filingNext 20 sessions vs SPY
2026-03-31 2026-05-06 +3.8% -16.4% +7.0%
2025-12-31 2026-02-04 +5.5% -2.7% +2.7%
2025-06-30 2025-08-06 +8.7% -4.8% +2.9%
2025-03-31 2025-05-07 +10.3% -2.4% -4.0%

Share count

Diluted shares over time

Diluted shares Return since the previous filing

Direction Flat — little net change
Diluted shares 195.4M as at 2026-03-31
Change over 1 year +0.1%
Change over 3 years -4.3%
Public float $37.89bn as at 2025-03-31 (10-K)

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyFair Value Anchor
Reference band 289.53 — 315.74
Protective stop 282.10 (Atr, 6.8% risk)
Support 299.02 (5 touches, 5.1% away)
Resistance 325.43 (3.6% away)

Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 3.6% below 325.43, where sellers have turned up before, and 5.1% above 299.02, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 5 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 6.8% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice ABOVE the cloud | periods 5/15/30 (58% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BULL
Cloud thickness34% percentile (thin — little structure to fight through)
Chikou spanAbove price from 26 periods ago
Weekly cloudPrice ABOVE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored)

Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 307.45 to 313.70. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.

Trailing returns

21 days +3.9%
63 days +20.4%
126 days -12.7%
252 days +8.1%
Below 252d high16.2%

Trend context

PositionAbove trend
ExtensionExtended
Trend slopeFlat
Direction of travelConverging back to trend

Takeaway The share price is above the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is going sideways. The gap between the two has been closing. Being stretched this far above trend measures how much room there is to fall back — it does not say the stock will stop rising.

Volatility

State In a squeeze
Current band width11.0% of price
Recent tightest7.4% (6 sessions ago, narrower than 89.0% of its history)
Expansion since1.49×
Band 295.89 — 330.28

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 11% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 89% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.

Historical trends

0255075100Share price 296.57–333.872026-07-062026-08-12
Position Health Business Conviction Share price

History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityNo filings in the window
Buy filings0
Sell filings0

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Above its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.

Options Positioning

No binary-event flag

COR: no binary-event flag. Near IV 26%, far IV 30% (ratio 0.87), implied move 3.3%.

Implied volatility 26% near (9d) · 30% far (100d)
Term structure 0.87× near/far
Historical volatility 36%
Implied vs historical 0.73×
Implied move ±3.3% by 2026-08-21
Implied move vs ATR 0.42×
Skew Call Skew (0.90×)
Call wall 370.00 (+17.8% away)
Put wall 220.00 (-30.0% away)
Gamma pin 370.00

Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 3.3% in either direction by 2026-08-21.

Chain as at 2026-08-12. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Repair Attempt

Rotation health 37.4/100; Negative Rotation.

Rotation health 37.4
Rotation strength 77.7
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Weakening 102.8 91.4
Stock vs SPY Lagging 84.7 85.0
Sector vs SPY Improving 86.4 102.1

Direction of travel: North-West / early recovery

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
  • Insider conviction score (+11.0)
  • ROIC quality: 14.3% (+2.6)
  • FCF margin quality: 1.2% (+0.4)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.030) (+1.0)
  • Accrual ratio improving (-0.03 -> -0.03) (+2.0)
  • Track 2: MACD histogram state (0.24) (+5.0)
  • Track 2: MACD line/signal trend quality (+18.0)
  • Track 2: positive MACD trend regime (+10.0)
  • Track 2: MACD slope expanding (+5.0)
  • Track 2: volume expansion 1.38x average (+1.9)
  • Track 2: bullish DI spread 13.6 (+8.0)
  • Track 2: ADX 29.1 and flat (+5.0)
  • Track 2: Hidden Bullish MACD divergence (+12.0)
  • Track 2: price above EMA20 by 0.3% (+0.2)
  • Track 2: EMA20 slope expanding 2.1% (+5.7)
  • Track 2: MACD histogram acceleration 0.71 (+4.0)
  • Track 2: VPT strength 0.01 (+0.3)
  • Track 2: price above EMA50 by 3.4% (+2.7)
  • Track 2: EMA50 slope improving 2.4% (+5.6)
  • Track 2: constructive pullback within uptrend (+10)
  • Track 2: Bollinger position 0.53 (+4.3)

Negative signals

  • Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
  • Weak relative momentum rank (0.45)
  • Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 55.4, 5-day change -3.7
  • Below-average Altman Z-score (1.66)
  • ROIC improving by -3.3 pts (+-2.0)
  • Track 2 structural exemption: Z-Score 1.66 below the 1.8 insolvency-risk floor and structural score 5.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.

Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.