CRWD
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +103.6% · range 87.56–225.16
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | 11.8% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | 14.5% |
| FCF / revenue | 33.5% |
| Gross margin | 75.1% |
| ROIC | -1.4% |
| Forward P/E | 141.6 |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2026).
Price vs Earnings growth
Trailing EPS is negative (-0.02), so a growth percentage does not exist — forward EPS of 1.57 implies a swing from loss to profit
Confidence 35.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | +103.6% |
|---|
Figures
| Trailing EPS | -0.02 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 1.57 |
| Forward P/E | 141.62 |
Revisions
Stable (+0.3%, 7 prior obs)
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Growing — shares issued |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 1,031.5M as at 2026-04-30 |
| Change over 1 year | +3.1% |
| Change over 3 years | +21.0% |
| Public float | $109.30bn as at 2025-07-31 (10-K) |
History before 2020-04-30 is not shown. The share count jumps at that date by a ratio no ordinary issuance produces — a split whose factor is not in Brown Bear's split store — so earlier figures are on a different basis and cannot be compared with today's.
Counts are restated for the 4:1 split of 2026-07-02, which would otherwise read as a share issuance.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Wait For Pullback |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 201.03 — 207.12 |
| Protective stop | 182.99 (Atr, 10.3% risk) |
| Support | 108.67 (4 touches, 104.1% away) |
| Resistance | — (— away) |
Takeaway The shares are about 104.1% above 108.67, a price buyers have stepped in at before. There is no ceiling to point to, because the stock is trading where it has not traded before and nobody has sold it at these levels. That floor has held 4 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 10.3% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price ABOVE the cloud | periods 8/24/49 (94% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BULL (fresh up cross, 6d ago) | cloud twist BULL (fresh up, 6d ago) |
| Cloud thickness | 58% percentile |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price ABOVE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 190.67 to 203.80. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +5.2% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | +62.4% |
| 126 days | +114.6% |
| 252 days | +108.0% |
| Below 252d high | 1.5% |
Trend context
| Position | Far above trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Extremely extended |
| Trend slope | Rising |
| Direction of travel | Holding its deviation |
Takeaway Extreme upside extension above Kalman fair trend; entry risk is elevated.
Volatility
| State | Expanded out of a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 30.3% of price |
| Recent tightest | 19.2% (9 sessions ago, narrower than 92.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.57× |
| Band | 169.03 — 229.29 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 30% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 92% of the time. It has started moving again since, swinging about 1.6 times as widely as during that quiet spell. A stock that has been quiet tends to make its next move look big by comparison, simply because the recent bar was low.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger Positive 20-day momentum acceleration repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Moderate |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway More shares change hands on the days this stock rises than on the days it falls. That is what you would expect to see if the rise is being driven by real buying rather than drifting up on a thin market.
Options Positioning
No binary-event flag
CRWD: no binary-event flag. Near IV 51%, far IV 59% (ratio 0.87), implied move 6.4%.
| Implied volatility | 51% near (9d) · 59% far (65d) |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 0.87× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 44% |
| Implied vs historical | 1.16× |
| Implied move | ±6.5% by 2026-08-21 |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.56× |
| Skew | Flat (1.02×) |
| Call wall | 250.00 (+12.7% away) |
| Put wall | 125.00 (-43.6% away) |
| Gamma pin | 117.50 |
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 6.5% in either direction by 2026-08-21.
Chain as at 2026-08-12. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Stock Leadership Confirmed
Rotation health 100.0/100; Strong Rotation Tailwind.
| Rotation health | 100.0 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 86.6 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Leading | 101.0 | 124.4 |
| Stock vs SPY | Leading | 105.1 | 125.3 |
| Sector vs SPY | Leading | 113.6 | 115.9 |
Direction of travel: North-East / strengthening leadership
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Altman Z-score 30.80 (+10.0)
- Insider conviction score (+5.0)
- Gross margin quality: 75.1% (+20.2)
- FCF margin quality: 33.5% (+20.0)
- FCF margin improving by -1.4 pts (+-3.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.160) (+8.0)
- Track 1: MACD histogram state (2.74) (+8.0)
- Track 1: relative strength trend improving (+5.0)
- Track 1: bullish DI spread 34.7 (+8.0)
- Track 1: ADX 18.7 and rising (+2.0)
- Track 1: relative momentum rank 0.95 (+5.0)
- Track 1: EMA20 reclaim distance 9.2% (+0.6)
- Track 1: EMA20 slope improving 5.3% (+5.0)
- Track 1: MACD histogram acceleration 1.46 (+10.0)
- Track 1: positive MACD regime (+3.0)
- Track 1: MACD line/signal repair quality (+8.0)
- Track 1: MACD slope improving (+5.0)
- Track 1: VPT strength 0.22 (+4.4)
- Track 1: price above EMA50 by 18.6% (+5.0)
- Track 1: EMA50 slope improving 6.6% (+3.0)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.88 (+1.0)
Negative signals
- Track 1: negative 20-day momentum acceleration (-0.12)
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 79.9, 5-day change +24.9
- Chase risk 75.4/100 (Exhaustion Risk): RSI 79.9, EMA20 9.2%, EMA50 18.6%, BB 0.88, distribution 6.5/100
- ROIC improving by -3.0 pts (+-5.0)
- Chase risk 75.4/100 | Extension score 24.6/100 | Exhaustion Risk