DJT

Trump Media ·Communication Services
9.95 live · 2026-08-27 14:58

Some scores are at the bottom of their range

This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.

  • Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -25.5
1.8%
Brown Bear Score
10.3%
Business Conviction Score
17.9%
Position Health Score
12.8%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -47.6% · range 7.06–18.12

Score trends appear once the scores have been recorded on more than one trading day.

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / revenue
Gross margin 0.0%
ROIC 0.0%
Forward P/E

No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.

Price vs Earnings growth

Trailing EPS is negative (-4.95) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist

Confidence 35.0/100

Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyCurrent Price Reasonable
Reference band 9.36 — 9.60
Protective stop 8.76 (Structure, 7.6% risk)
Support 8.99 (2 touches, 5.6% away)
Resistance 9.63 (1.4% away)

Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 1.4% below 9.63, where sellers have turned up before, and 5.6% above 8.99, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 7.6% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice ABOVE the cloud | periods 7/21/42 (82% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BULL
Cloud eventFresh up breakout 3d ago
Cloud thickness42% percentile
Chikou spanNot clear of price from 26 periods ago
Weekly cloudPrice BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored)

Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 8.81 to 9.16. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages point the other way, so this is a mixed reading rather than a clear one.

Trailing returns

21 days -3.8%
63 days +10.9%
126 days -12.8%
252 days -44.8%
Below 252d high47.6%

Trend context

PositionAbove trend
ExtensionNormal
Trend slopeRising
Direction of travelHolding its deviation

Takeaway The share price is above the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is climbing. The gap between the two has been fairly steady. Neither is stretched far enough to stand out.

Volatility

State No recent compression
Current band width35.1% of price
Recent tightest26.9% (9 sessions ago, narrower than 30.0% of its history)
Expansion since1.30×
Band 7.59 — 10.82

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 35% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.

Repair Pathway

  1. Nearest Trigger MACD repair streak continuation 5 improving bars MACD histogram has improved for 5 consecutive sessions · Broadly stable
  2. Trigger 2 Positive 20-day momentum acceleration repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
  3. Trigger 3 RSI recovery above 50 +4.9 pts gap is improving · Improving rapidly
  4. Trigger 4 Relative momentum rank back above 0.45 secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
  5. Trigger 5 EMA20 continuation hold already above Track 2 pathway: price is above a rising EMA20; sustained hold would support momentum continuation · Broadly stable

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityNo filings in the window
Buy filings0
Sell filings0

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Above its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.

Options Positioning

No binary-event flag

DJT: no binary-event flag. Near IV 66%, far IV 79% (ratio 0.82), implied move 7.7%.

Implied volatility 66% near (8d) · 79% far (85d)
Term structure 0.82× near/far
Historical volatility 63%
Implied vs historical 1.03×
Implied move ±7.7% by 2026-09-04
Implied move vs ATR 0.55×
Skew Call Skew (0.80×)
Call wall 18.00 (+80.9% away)
Put wall 8.00 (-19.6% away)
Gamma pin 8.00

Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 7.7% in either direction by 2026-09-04.

Chain as at 2026-08-27. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Early Stock Rotation

Rotation health 86.9/100; Strong Rotation Tailwind.

Rotation health 86.9
Rotation strength 84.0
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Improving 91.6 113.7
Stock vs SPY Improving 93.2 115.1
Sector vs SPY Leading 128.0 120.4

Direction of travel: North-East / strengthening leadership

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
  • Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
  • Track 2: MACD line/signal trend quality (+10.5)
  • Track 2: MACD slope expanding (+1.2)
  • Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
  • Track 2: price above EMA20 by 5.1% (+2.4)
  • Track 2: EMA20 slope expanding 1.2% (+1.9)
  • Track 2: MACD histogram acceleration 0.27 (+2.3)
  • Track 2: RSI trend quality 45.1, 5-day change +18.9 (+11.4)
  • Track 2: price above EMA50 by 5.5% (+2.6)
  • Track 2: Bollinger position 0.59 (+4.5)

Negative signals

  • Underperforming sector over 20 days
  • Track 2: negative MACD regime (-3.7)
  • Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.92x average)
  • Track 2: negative 20-day momentum acceleration (-0.31)
  • Track 2: bearish DI spread (-2.5)
  • Track 2: weak/falling ADX (17.4, flat)
  • Weak relative momentum rank (0.02)
  • Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (0.00)
  • Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -1.4%
  • FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
  • Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.

Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.