DMRC
Some scores are at the bottom of their range
This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.
- Structural Score: displayed 0, underlying value -8.5
- Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -102.6
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -29.6% · range 4.36–16.43
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / revenue | -34.7% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 75.4% |
| ROIC | -73.9% |
| Forward P/E | -16.9 |
No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.
Price vs Earnings growth
Trailing EPS is negative (-1.44) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist
Confidence 35.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | -29.6% |
|---|
Figures
| Trailing EPS | -1.44 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | -0.35 |
| Forward P/E | -16.91 |
Revisions
Stable (-2.9%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Current Price Reasonable |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 5.83 — 5.98 |
| Protective stop | 4.12 (Atr, 30.3% risk) |
| Support | 5.58 (2 touches, 6.2% away) |
| Resistance | 6.57 (10.9% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 6.2% above 5.58, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 10.9% below 6.57, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 30.3% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 5/16/31 (60% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR (fresh down cross, 2d ago) | cloud twist BEAR (fresh down, 1d ago) |
| Cloud event | Fresh down breakout 4d ago |
| Cloud thickness | 25% percentile (thin — little structure to fight through) |
| Chikou span | Not clear of price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 6.62 to 6.88. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | -8.8% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -55.9% |
| 126 days | +32.7% |
| 252 days | -28.8% |
| Below 252d high | 64.0% |
Trend context
| Position | Far below trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Falling sharply |
| Direction of travel | Diverging from trend |
Takeaway Kalman fair trend is falling sharply; downside trend risk remains elevated.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 36.9% of price |
| Recent tightest | 31.3% (3 sessions ago, narrower than 92.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.18× |
| Band | 5.68 — 8.25 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 37% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 92% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger MACD bullish crossover repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 RSI recovery above 50 secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Deteriorating rapidly
- Trigger 3 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Improving
- Trigger 4 MACD histogram above zero 0.12 gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Bollinger recovery toward mid-band +0.36 band position price remains in the lower Bollinger zone; recovery toward mid-band would support repair · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Below its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.
Options Positioning
Binary-event risk flagged
DMRC: binary-event risk suspected -- Term structure inverted (near 219% IV vs far 171% IV, ratio 1.28); Implied move 43.9% is 0.76x the ATR-expected 57.9% over 23d. Options market is pricing a discrete catalyst; technical breakout signals are unreliable until it resolves.
| Implied volatility | 219% near (23d) · 171% far (114d) — Term structure inverted — the market is pricing an event in the near window |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 1.28× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 79% |
| Implied vs historical | 2.76× — Options are priced well above what the stock has actually done |
| Implied move | ±43.9% by 2026-09-18 — Large relative to this stock's normal daily range |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.76× |
| Skew | Put Skew (1.41×) |
| Call wall | 15.00 (+153.4% away) |
| Put wall | 5.00 (-15.5% away) |
| Gamma pin | 15.00 |
- Term structure inverted (near 219% IV vs far 171% IV, ratio 1.28)
- Implied move 43.9% is 0.76x the ATR-expected 57.9% over 23d
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs more for the next few weeks than for the next few months. Traders usually pay up like that when they know something is coming soon — results, a court ruling, a regulatory decision. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 43.9% in either direction by 2026-09-18. The overall shape suggests they expect a one-off result that lands either well or badly, rather than a gradual drift.
Chain as at 2026-08-26. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Repair Attempt
Rotation health 45.0/100; Mixed Rotation.
| Rotation health | 45.0 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 64.5 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 101.5 | 89.6 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 102.1 | 88.3 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 103.8 | 79.2 |
Direction of travel: North-West / early recovery
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Insider conviction score (+3.0)
- Gross margin quality: 75.4% (+5.5)
- Gross margin improving by 12.3 pts (+2.0)
- FCF margin improving by 34.4 pts (+2.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.388) (+4.0)
- Accrual ratio improving (-0.16 -> -0.39) (+2.0)
- Track 2: volume expansion 1.50x average (+2.5)
- Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.15 (+12.0)
- Track 2: ADX 37.1 and rising (+15.0)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.09 (+0.7)
Negative signals
- Underperforming sector over 20 days
- Track 2: weak MACD histogram (-0.12)
- Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-15.0)
- Track 2: negative MACD regime (-8.0)
- Track 2: MACD slope deteriorating (-5.0)
- Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
- Track 2: bearish DI spread (-25.8)
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.07)
- Track 2: price below EMA20 by 12.0%
- Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -6.0%
- Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 30.9, 5-day change -25.5
- Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (-0.02)
- Track 2: price below EMA50 by 19.6%
- Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -5.2%
- Weak Piotroski F-score (2/9)
- Below-average Altman Z-score (-11.30)
- ROIC improving by -12.8 pts (+-2.0)
- Track 2 structural exemption: Z-Score -11.30 below the 1.8 insolvency-risk floor and structural score 0.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.