DV
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -17.0% · range 8.61–16.27
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | 12.8% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | 15.6% |
| FCF / revenue | 28.2% |
| Gross margin | 82.4% |
| ROIC | 6.9% |
| Forward P/E | 11.5 |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).
Price vs Earnings growth
Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +248.1pp
Confidence 95.0/100
Drivers
| Forward EPS growth | +231.1% |
|---|---|
| Trailing price return (1y) | -17.0% |
| Forward P/E compression | +69.8% |
Figures
| Trailing EPS | 0.35 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 1.16 |
| Trailing P/E | 38.00 |
| Forward P/E | 11.48 |
Revisions
Deteriorating (-5.6%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.
Reported earnings
Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (0.01–0.19, own scale) Derived Q4
12 quarters to Q1 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | EPS reported | vs consensus | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 180.82m | +9.6% | 6.41m | 0.04 | 0.04 | -32.2% | 2026-05-06 |
| 2025-12-31 (derived) | 205.59m | +7.9% | 29.33m | 0.18 | 0.18 | +6.6% | 2026-02-26 |
| 2025-09-30 | 188.62m | +11.2% | 10.20m | 0.06 | 0.06 | -40.1% | 2025-11-07 |
| 2025-06-30 | 189.02m | +21.3% | 8.76m | 0.05 | — | — | 2025-08-05 |
| 2025-03-31 | 165.06m | +17.2% | 2.36m | 0.01 | — | — | 2025-05-08 |
| 2024-12-31 (derived) | 190.62m | +10.7% | 23.40m | 0.13 | — | — | 2025-02-27 |
| 2024-09-30 | 169.56m | +17.8% | 18.20m | 0.10 | — | — | 2024-11-06 |
| 2024-06-30 | 155.89m | +16.6% | 7.47m | 0.04 | — | — | 2024-07-30 |
| 2024-03-31 | 140.78m | — | 7.16m | 0.04 | — | — | 2024-05-07 |
| 2023-12-31 (derived) | 172.23m | — | 33.10m | 0.19 | — | — | 2024-02-28 |
| 2023-09-30 | 143.97m | — | 13.35m | 0.08 | — | — | 2023-11-09 |
| 2023-06-30 | 133.74m | — | 12.84m | 0.07 | — | — | 2023-07-31 |
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Shrinking — shares retired |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 164.1M as at 2026-03-31 |
| Change over 1 year | -2.9% |
| Change over 3 years | -4.4% |
| Public float | $2.04bn as at 2025-06-30 (10-K) |
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | At Support Zone |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 13.14 — 13.54 |
| Protective stop | 13.25 (Structure, 0.7% risk) |
| Support | 13.28 (2 touches, 0.2% away) |
| Resistance | 13.34 (0.3% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 0.2% above 13.28, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 0.3% below 13.34, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 0.7% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price ABOVE the cloud | periods 9/26/52 (100% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BULL |
| Cloud thickness | 100% percentile (thick — substantial structure) |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price ABOVE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 11.63 to 12.69. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages agree with that. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +18.2% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | +37.4% |
| 126 days | +39.6% |
| 252 days | -18.2% |
| Below 252d high | 18.3% |
Trend context
| Position | At trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Rising strongly |
| Direction of travel | Converging back to trend |
Takeaway Price is near a rising Kalman fair trend, consistent with a healthy trend setup.
Volatility
| State | No recent compression |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 25.4% of price |
| Recent tightest | 25.4% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 27.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 11.16 — 14.40 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 25% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.
Options Positioning
no listed options chain
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Mixed Rotation Phase
Rotation health 64.0/100; Positive Rotation.
| Rotation health | 64.0 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 73.2 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 105.7 | 90.3 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 109.3 | 99.0 |
| Sector vs SPY | Leading | 128.0 | 120.4 |
Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+10.0)
- Altman Z-score 11.17 (+10.0)
- Gross margin quality: 82.4% (+22.0)
- ROIC quality: 6.9% (+1.6)
- FCF margin quality: 28.2% (+18.8)
- FCF margin improving by 3.9 pts (+2.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.119) (+8.0)
- Accrual ratio improving (-0.08 -> -0.12) (+5.0)
- Relative Strength 14.8% vs sector: OUTPERFORMING (+10.0)
- Track 1: MACD histogram state (-0.02) (+3.0)
- Track 1: relative strength trend improving (+5.0)
- Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.09 (+6.0)
- Track 1: bullish DI spread 61.2 (+8.0)
- Track 1: ADX 70.2 and rising (+10.0)
- Track 1: EMA20 reclaim distance 3.7% (+5.0)
- Track 1: EMA20 slope improving 2.5% (+5.0)
- Track 1: VPT strength 0.13 (+2.6)
- Track 1: price above EMA50 by 10.9% (+5.0)
- Track 1: EMA50 slope improving 5.7% (+3.0)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.66 (+2.7)
- Regime convergence: CONSTRUCTIVE_PULLBACK confidence 97.8/100 (STRONG) (+19.6)
Negative signals
- Track 1: weak volume confirmation (0.38x average)
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.13)
- Track 1: weak MACD line/signal structure (-8.0)
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 96.0, 5-day change +7.0
- ROIC improving by -0.8 pts (+-5.0)
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.