GTLB
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -5.6% · range 19.42–51.04
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | 12.9% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | 13.5% |
| FCF / revenue | 24.4% |
| Gross margin | 86.8% |
| ROIC | -6.6% |
| Forward P/E | 40.1 |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2026).
Price vs Earnings growth
Trailing EPS is negative (-0.15), so a growth percentage does not exist — forward EPS of 1.03 implies a swing from loss to profit
Confidence 35.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | -5.6% |
|---|
Figures
| Trailing EPS | -0.15 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 1.03 |
| Forward P/E | 40.14 |
Revisions
Stable (+0.0%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
Reported earnings
Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (-1.84–0.18, own scale) Derived Q4
12 quarters to Q2 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The baseline is zero — bars below it are losses. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 264.16m | +23.1% | -4.97m | -0.03 | 2026-06-02 |
| 2026-01-31 (derived) | 260.40m | +23.2% | -2.60m | -0.02 | 2026-03-17 |
| 2025-10-31 | 244.35m | +24.6% | -8.28m | -0.05 | 2025-12-03 |
| 2025-07-31 | 235.96m | +29.2% | -9.21m | -0.06 | 2025-09-04 |
| 2025-04-30 | 214.51m | +26.8% | -35.88m | -0.22 | 2025-06-11 |
| 2025-01-31 (derived) | 211.43m | +29.1% | 5.80m | 0.04 | 2025-03-21 |
| 2024-10-31 | 196.05m | +31.0% | 29.57m | 0.18 | 2024-12-06 |
| 2024-07-31 | 182.58m | +30.8% | 12.95m | 0.08 | 2024-09-04 |
| 2024-04-30 | 169.19m | — | -54.64m | -0.35 | 2024-06-04 |
| 2024-01-31 (derived) | 163.78m | — | -36.47m | -0.24 | 2024-03-26 |
| 2023-10-31 | 149.67m | — | -285.16m | -1.84 | 2023-12-05 |
| 2023-07-31 | 139.58m | — | -50.08m | -0.33 | 2023-09-06 |
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Growing — shares issued |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 169.9M as at 2026-04-30 |
| Change over 1 year | +3.3% |
| Change over 3 years | +12.0% |
| Public float | $6.37bn as at 2025-07-31 (10-K) |
History before 2022-04-30 is not shown. The share count jumps at that date by a ratio no ordinary issuance produces — a split whose factor is not in Brown Bear's split store — so earlier figures are on a different basis and cannot be compared with today's.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Fair Value Anchor |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 35.51 — 41.52 |
| Protective stop | 33.68 (Atr, 12.6% risk) |
| Support | 34.10 (2 touches, 21.1% away) |
| Resistance | 42.76 (3.5% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 3.5% below 42.76, where sellers have turned up before, and 21.1% above 34.10, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 12.6% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price ABOVE the cloud | periods 8/24/48 (92% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BULL |
| Cloud thickness | 72% percentile |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price ABOVE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 34.52 to 39.42. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +25.3% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | +55.8% |
| 126 days | +59.1% |
| 252 days | -8.7% |
| Below 252d high | 19.1% |
Trend context
| Position | Far above trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Extremely extended |
| Trend slope | Rising strongly |
| Direction of travel | Holding its deviation |
Takeaway Extreme upside extension above Kalman fair trend; entry risk is elevated.
Volatility
| State | No recent compression |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 31.3% of price |
| Recent tightest | 31.3% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 38.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 33.50 — 45.91 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 31% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger MACD bullish crossover repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 MACD histogram acceleration turns positive secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 MACD histogram above zero 0.19 gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Relative momentum rank above 0.55 +0.31 rank relative momentum leadership is not yet strong enough for the next action tier · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | Mixed buying and selling |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 1 |
| Sell filings | 1 |
| Shares bought | 4,188 |
| Shares sold | 8,725 |
| Value bought | $123.0k |
| Value sold | $331.6k |
| Latest buy | 2026-06-30 |
| Latest sell | 2026-08-07 |
| Filed | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Sold Mundy SimonChief Accounting Officer | 8,725 | $331,550 |
| 2026-06-30 | Bought Staples WilliamChief Executive Officer | 4,188 | $122,960 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.
Options Positioning
Binary-event risk flagged
GTLB: binary-event risk suspected -- Term structure inverted (near 123% IV vs far 75% IV, ratio 1.64); Implied move 15.4% is 1.09x the ATR-expected 14.0% over 9d. Options market is pricing a discrete catalyst; technical breakout signals are unreliable until it resolves.
| Implied volatility | 123% near (9d) · 75% far (86d) — Term structure inverted — the market is pricing an event in the near window |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 1.64× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 53% |
| Implied vs historical | 2.30× — Options are priced well above what the stock has actually done |
| Implied move | ±15.4% by 2026-09-04 — Large relative to this stock's normal daily range |
| Implied move vs ATR | 1.09× |
| Skew | Call Skew (0.85×) |
- Term structure inverted (near 123% IV vs far 75% IV, ratio 1.64)
- Implied move 15.4% is 1.09x the ATR-expected 14.0% over 9d
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs more for the next few weeks than for the next few months. Traders usually pay up like that when they know something is coming soon — results, a court ruling, a regulatory decision. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 15.4% in either direction by 2026-09-04. The overall shape suggests they expect a one-off result that lands either well or badly, rather than a gradual drift.
Chain as at 2026-08-26. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 42.8/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 42.8 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 83.8 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 108.3 | 92.8 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 106.8 | 87.0 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 103.8 | 79.2 |
Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 4/9 (+7.1)
- Altman Z-score 10.51 (+14.3)
- Insider conviction score (+31.8)
- Gross margin quality: 86.8% (+17.6)
- FCF margin quality: 24.4% (+13.0)
- ROIC improving by 10.1 pts (+6.4)
- FCF margin improving by 32.8 pts (+4.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.168) (+6.4)
- Accrual ratio improving (0.04 -> -0.17) (+4.0)
- Relative Strength 18.5% vs sector: OUTPERFORMING (+10.0)
- Track 1: relative strength trend improving (+5.0)
- Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.10 (+6.0)
- Track 1: bullish DI spread 21.1 (+5.0)
- Track 1: ADX 43.9 and rising (+10.0)
- Track 1: EMA20 reclaim distance 4.1% (+4.7)
- Track 1: EMA20 slope improving 3.5% (+5.0)
- Track 1: VPT strength 0.13 (+2.7)
- Track 1: price above EMA50 by 15.7% (+5.0)
- Track 1: EMA50 slope improving 9.3% (+3.0)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.63 (+3.0)
Negative signals
- Track 1: weak volume confirmation (0.64x average)
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.24)
- Track 1: MACD histogram deteriorating (-0.52)
- Track 1: weak MACD line/signal structure (-8.0)
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 66.4, 5-day change -7.3
- Chase risk 47.7/100 (Elevated Chase Risk): RSI 66.4, EMA20 4.1%, EMA50 15.7%, BB 0.63, distribution 14.1/100
- Gross margin improving by -2.0 pts (+-2.4)
- Chase risk 47.7/100 | Extension score 52.3/100 | Elevated Chase Risk