LI
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -47.4% · range 11.74–26.69
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / revenue | — |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.0% |
| ROIC | 0.0% |
| Forward P/E | 12.7 |
No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.
Price vs Earnings growth
Trailing EPS is negative (-0.27), so a growth percentage does not exist — forward EPS of 0.96 implies a swing from loss to profit
Confidence 35.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | -47.4% |
|---|
Figures
| Trailing EPS | -0.27 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 0.96 |
| Forward P/E | 12.68 |
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Current Price Reasonable |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 12.05 — 12.35 |
| Protective stop | 11.54 (Atr, 5.4% risk) |
| Support | 12.12 (3 touches, 0.9% away) |
| Resistance | 12.38 (1.2% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 0.9% above 12.12, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 1.2% below 12.38, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 3 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 5.4% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 8/24/48 (92% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud event | Fresh down breakout 4d ago |
| Cloud thickness | 48% percentile |
| Chikou span | Not clear of price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 12.60 to 12.85. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | -9.3% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -18.5% |
| 126 days | -30.5% |
| 252 days | -45.9% |
| Below 252d high | 54.2% |
Trend context
| Position | At trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Falling |
| Direction of travel | Holding its deviation |
Takeaway The share price is close to the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is drifting down. The gap between the two has been fairly steady. Neither is stretched far enough to stand out.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 10.4% of price |
| Recent tightest | 10.4% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 82.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 11.92 — 13.23 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 10% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 82% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger Positive 20-day momentum acceleration repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 MACD bullish crossover secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 EMA20 reclaim +2.4% gap is improving · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 EMA50 reclaim +6.6% gap is improving · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Deteriorating
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Below its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.
Options Positioning
Binary-event risk flagged
LI: binary-event risk suspected -- Term structure inverted (near 56% IV vs far 48% IV, ratio 1.15); Implied move 6.1% is 1.07x the ATR-expected 5.7% over 7d. Options market is pricing a discrete catalyst; technical breakout signals are unreliable until it resolves.
| Implied volatility | 56% near (7d) · 48% far (112d) — Term structure inverted — the market is pricing an event in the near window |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 1.15× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 33% |
| Implied vs historical | 1.68× — Options are priced well above what the stock has actually done |
| Implied move | ±6.1% by 2026-09-04 — Large relative to this stock's normal daily range |
| Implied move vs ATR | 1.07× |
| Skew | Flat (0.96×) |
| Call wall | 13.00 (+7.2% away) |
| Put wall | 11.00 (-9.3% away) |
| Gamma pin | 13.00 |
- Term structure inverted (near 56% IV vs far 48% IV, ratio 1.15)
- Implied move 6.1% is 1.07x the ATR-expected 5.7% over 7d
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs more for the next few weeks than for the next few months. Traders usually pay up like that when they know something is coming soon — results, a court ruling, a regulatory decision. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 6.1% in either direction by 2026-09-04. The overall shape suggests they expect a one-off result that lands either well or badly, rather than a gradual drift.
Chain as at 2026-08-28. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Leadership Cooling
Rotation health 59.9/100; Mixed Rotation.
| Rotation health | 59.9 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 68.6 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Improving | 93.4 | 106.6 |
| Stock vs SPY | Improving | 95.8 | 100.5 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 105.4 | 85.9 |
Direction of travel: North-West / early recovery
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
- Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.24 (+1.9)
Negative signals
- Underperforming sector over 20 days
- Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-15.0)
- Track 2: negative MACD regime (-8.0)
- Track 2: MACD slope deteriorating (-5.0)
- Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.65x average)
- Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
- Track 2: negative 20-day momentum acceleration (-0.24)
- Track 2: bearish DI spread (-8.0)
- Track 2: weak/falling ADX (15.7, flat)
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.02)
- Track 2: Bearish MACD divergence
- Track 2: price below EMA20 by 2.3%
- Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -1.4%
- Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 39.7, 5-day change -9.1
- Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (-0.03)
- Track 2: price below EMA50 by 6.2%
- Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -2.2%
- FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
- Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.