MX
Some scores are at the bottom of their range
This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.
- Structural Score: displayed 0, underlying value -11.0
- Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -84.3
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +13.2% · range 2.27–8.93
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | -15.4% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | -6.9% |
| FCF / revenue | -13.5% |
| Gross margin | 15.9% |
| ROIC | -9.9% |
| Forward P/E | — |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).
Price vs Earnings growth
Insufficient data to compare price against forward earnings growth
Confidence 25.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | +13.2% |
|---|
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
Reported earnings
Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (-0.43–0.01, own scale) Derived Q4
12 quarters to Q1 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The baseline is zero — bars below it are losses. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | EPS reported | vs consensus | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 46.21m | +3.3% | -4.65m | -0.13 | -0.11 | +51.5% | 2026-05-08 |
| 2025-12-31 (derived) | 40.57m | -35.6% | -8.08m | -0.22 | -0.08 | +75.7% | 2026-03-16 |
| 2025-09-30 | 45.95m | -30.9% | -13.09m | -0.36 | -0.01 | +87.9% | 2025-11-10 |
| 2025-06-30 | 47.62m | -10.4% | 323.00k | 0.01 | — | — | 2025-08-05 |
| 2025-03-31 | 44.72m | -8.9% | -8.88m | -0.24 | — | — | 2025-05-12 |
| 2024-12-31 (derived) | 63.04m | +24.0% | -16.28m | -0.43 | — | — | 2025-03-14 |
| 2024-09-30 | 66.46m | +8.5% | -9.62m | -0.26 | — | — | 2024-11-07 |
| 2024-06-30 | 53.17m | -12.8% | -13.00m | -0.34 | — | — | 2024-08-08 |
| 2024-03-31 | 49.07m | — | -15.42m | -0.40 | — | — | 2024-05-10 |
| 2023-12-31 (derived) | 50.82m | — | -6.04m | -0.15 | — | — | 2024-03-08 |
| 2023-09-30 | 61.24m | — | -5.17m | -0.13 | — | — | 2023-11-08 |
| 2023-06-30 | 60.98m | — | -3.95m | -0.09 | — | — | 2023-08-08 |
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Shrinking — shares retired |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 36.4M as at 2026-03-31 |
| Change over 1 year | -1.3% |
| Change over 3 years | -16.1% |
| Public float | $139.25m as at 2025-06-30 (10-K) |
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Current Price Reasonable |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 3.21 — 3.29 |
| Protective stop | 2.89 (Structure, 11.0% risk) |
| Support | 2.99 (2 touches, 9.2% away) |
| Resistance | 4.08 (25.2% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 9.2% above 2.99, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 25.2% below 4.08, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 11.0% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 8/22/45 (86% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR (fresh down cross, 3d ago) | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud thickness | 68% percentile |
| Chikou span | Not clear of price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 3.50 to 4.07. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +0.9% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -45.2% |
| 126 days | +21.6% |
| 252 days | +14.8% |
| Below 252d high | 63.5% |
Trend context
| Position | Below trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Falling sharply |
| Direction of travel | Diverging from trend |
Takeaway Kalman fair trend is falling sharply; downside trend risk remains elevated.
Volatility
| State | No recent compression |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 30.1% of price |
| Recent tightest | 28.9% (7 sessions ago, narrower than 71.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.04× |
| Band | 3.00 — 4.07 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 30% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger MACD bullish crossover repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 Relative momentum rank above 0.65 +0.07 rank relative momentum leadership is not yet strong enough for the next action tier · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 RSI recovery above 50 secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Deteriorating rapidly
- Trigger 4 MACD histogram above zero 0.01 gap is broadly stable · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.
Options Positioning
No meaningful positions — the chain was read and nothing in it stands out as pricing a specific event.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 37.5/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 37.5 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 72.6 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 108.0 | 82.9 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 107.7 | 81.4 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 103.8 | 79.2 |
Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- FCF margin improving by -10.4 pts (+-1.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.016) (+1.0)
- Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.45 (+20.0)
- Track 2: ADX 16.1 and rising (+2.0)
- Track 2: relative momentum rank 0.58 (+2.7)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.24 (+1.9)
Negative signals
- Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-15.0)
- Track 2: negative MACD regime (-8.0)
- Track 2: MACD slope deteriorating (-5.0)
- Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.48x average)
- Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
- Track 2: bearish DI spread (-22.6)
- Track 2: price below EMA20 by 7.1%
- Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -4.4%
- Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 32.4, 5-day change -21.3
- Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (0.00)
- Track 2: price below EMA50 by 16.1%
- Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -5.8%
- Weak Piotroski F-score (2/9)
- Below-average Altman Z-score (2.22)
- Gross margin improving by -3.8 pts (+-1.0)
- Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 0.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.