NBIS
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +203.5% · range 64.06–286.69
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / revenue | 72.6% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 72.1% |
| ROIC | 0.7% |
| Forward P/E | -71.4 |
No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.
Price vs Earnings growth
Trailing EPS is negative (-0.06) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist
Confidence 35.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | +203.5% |
|---|
Figures
| Trailing EPS | -0.06 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | -3.00 |
| Forward P/E | -71.37 |
Revisions
Rapidly Deteriorating (-929.9%, 1 prior obs)
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Fair Value Anchor |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 159.33 — 215.00 |
| Protective stop | 141.67 (Atr, 24.3% risk) |
| Support | 200.17 (3 touches, 6.9% away) |
| Resistance | 229.02 (7.1% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 6.9% above 200.17, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 7.1% below 229.02, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 3 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 24.3% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price INSIDE the cloud | periods 6/19/37 (71% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BULL |
| Cloud thickness | 10% percentile (thin — little structure to fight through) |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price INSIDE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading inside its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 213.31 to 218.16. Inside the band those averages disagree with each other, so the indicator is not saying much either way. Its shorter-term averages point the other way, so this is a mixed reading rather than a clear one.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +26.1% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | +2.7% |
| 126 days | +101.6% |
| 252 days | +205.5% |
| Below 252d high | 25.4% |
Trend context
| Position | Far above trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Extremely extended |
| Trend slope | Rising |
| Direction of travel | Converging back to trend |
Takeaway Extreme upside extension above Kalman fair trend; entry risk is elevated.
Volatility
| State | No recent compression |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 51.5% of price |
| Recent tightest | 51.5% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 30.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 163.74 — 277.31 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 52% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger EMA50 reclaim +0.6% gap is improving · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 MACD histogram acceleration turns positive repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Improving
- Trigger 3 Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 MACD bullish crossover secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Deteriorating
- Trigger 5 MACD histogram above zero 1.68 gap is deteriorating · Deteriorating
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | Insider selling |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 52 |
| Shares sold | 171,313 |
| Value sold | $42.0m |
| Latest sell | 2026-08-14 |
| Filed | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Sold Ryan Charles EDirector | 13,315 | $3,506,106 |
| 2026-08-14 | Sold Ryan Charles EDirector | 9,283 | $2,457,953 |
| 2026-08-14 | Sold Ryan Charles EDirector | 10,113 | $2,684,496 |
| 2026-08-14 | Sold Ryan Charles EDirector | 9,622 | $2,565,899 |
| 2026-08-14 | Sold Ryan Charles EDirector | 5,000 | $1,343,050 |
| 2026-08-14 | Sold Ryan Charles EDirector | 2,667 | $719,130 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.
Options Positioning
No binary-event flag
NBIS: no binary-event flag. Near IV 91%, far IV 94% (ratio 0.96), implied move 11.4%.
| Implied volatility | 91% near (9d) · 94% far (86d) |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 0.96× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 181% |
| Implied vs historical | 0.50× |
| Implied move | ±11.4% by 2026-09-04 |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.45× |
| Skew | Flat (0.96×) |
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 11.4% in either direction by 2026-09-04.
Chain as at 2026-08-26. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 39.1/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 39.1 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 91.6 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 107.8 | 86.3 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 107.3 | 85.1 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 103.8 | 79.2 |
Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+14.3)
- Altman Z-score 8.67 (+14.3)
- Insider conviction score (+10.6)
- Gross margin quality: 72.1% (+15.3)
- FCF margin quality: 72.6% (+16.0)
- Gross margin improving by 19.8 pts (+4.0)
- ROIC improving by 11.4 pts (+6.4)
- FCF margin improving by -195.8 pts (+-2.4)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.024) (+1.6)
- Relative Strength 9.5% vs sector: OUTPERFORMING (+10.0)
- Track 1: relative strength trend improving (+5.0)
- Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.91 (+12.0)
- Track 1: bullish DI spread 8.7 (+3.0)
- Track 1: relative momentum rank 0.98 (+5.0)
- Track 1: VPT strength 0.04 (+0.7)
- Track 1: EMA50 slope improving 4.4% (+3.0)
- Track 1: EMA50 support proximity 0.6% (+4.5)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.44 (+4.5)
Negative signals
- Track 1: weak MACD histogram (-1.68)
- Track 1: weak volume confirmation (0.38x average)
- Track 1: weak/falling ADX (19.4, flat)
- Track 1: price below EMA20 by 3.2%
- Track 1: EMA20 slope deteriorating -1.2%
- Track 1: MACD histogram deteriorating (-7.40)
- Track 1: weak MACD line/signal structure (-8.0)
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 56.2, 5-day change -1.3
- Track 1: price below EMA50 by 0.6%
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.