PLTR

Palantir Technologies Inc. ·Nasdaq Global Select·Technology
179.00 ▼ live · 2026-08-13 15:59
88.5%
Brown Bear Score
95.0%
Business Conviction Score
71.4%
Position Health Score
77.9%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -2.9% · range 107.27–207.18

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / assets 23.6%
OCF / assets 24.0%
FCF / revenue 47.7%
Gross margin 84.8%
ROIC 18.3%
Forward P/E 77.3

FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).

Price vs Earnings growth

Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +92.6pp

Confidence 95.0/100

Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.

Reported earnings

Next report 2026-11-02 · consensus EPS 0.42

Q2 23 revenue: 533.32mQ2 23 net income: 28.13mQ2 23 EPS: 0.01Q3 23 revenue: 558.16mQ3 23 net income: 71.50mQ3 23 EPS: 0.03Q3 23Q4 23 revenue: 608.35mQ4 23 net income: 93.39mQ4 23 EPS: 0.04Q1 24 revenue: 634.34mQ1 24 net income: 105.53mQ1 24 EPS: 0.04Q1 24Q2 24 revenue: 678.13mQ2 24 net income: 134.13mQ2 24 EPS: 0.06Q3 24 revenue: 725.52mQ3 24 net income: 143.53mQ3 24 EPS: 0.06Q3 24Q4 24 revenue: 827.52mQ4 24 net income: 79.01mQ4 24 EPS: 0.03Q1 25 revenue: 883.86mQ1 25 net income: 214.03mQ1 25 EPS: 0.08Q1 25Q2 25 revenue: 1.00bnQ2 25 net income: 326.73mQ2 25 EPS: 0.13Q3 25 revenue: 1.18bnQ3 25 net income: 475.60mQ3 25 EPS: 0.18Q3 25Q4 25 revenue: 1.41bnQ4 25 net income: 608.68mQ4 25 EPS: 0.24Q1 26 revenue: 1.63bnQ1 26 net income: 870.53mQ1 26 EPS: 0.34Q1 26

Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (0.01–0.34, own scale) Derived Q4

12 quarters to Q1 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.

Quarter endingRevenueYoY Net incomeEPS (GAAP) EPS reportedvs consensus Filed
2026-03-31 1.63bn +84.7% 870.53m 0.34 0.33 +15.8% 2026-05-05
2025-12-31 (derived) 1.41bn +70.0% 608.68m 0.24 0.25 +6.5% 2026-02-17
2025-09-30 1.18bn +62.8% 475.60m 0.18 0.21 +22.2% 2025-11-04
2025-06-30 1.00bn +48.0% 326.73m 0.13 — — 2025-08-05

Earnings response

Typical move around a filing ±11.2%
On an ordinary two days ±3.0% — filings move it 3.8× as much
Direction 5 up, 7 down over 12 filings
Revenue change and price reaction, by quarter
Q2 22 revenue +25.9% year on yearQ2 22 filed 2022-08-08: price -19.2%Q3 22 revenue +21.9% year on yearQ3 22 filed 2022-11-07: price -9.1%Q3 22Q1 23 revenue +17.7% year on yearQ1 23 filed 2023-05-09: price +28.4%Q2 23 revenue +12.7% year on yearQ2 23 filed 2023-08-08: price -15.2%Q2 23Q3 23 revenue +16.8% year on yearQ3 23 filed 2023-11-03: price +3.2%Q1 24 revenue +20.8% year on yearQ1 24 filed 2024-05-07: price -14.5%Q1 24Q2 24 revenue +27.2% year on yearQ2 24 filed 2024-08-06: price +9.3%Q3 24 revenue +30.0% year on yearQ3 24 filed 2024-11-05: price +34.1%Q3 24Q1 25 revenue +39.3% year on yearQ1 25 filed 2025-05-06: price -10.7%Q2 25 revenue +48.0% year on yearQ2 25 filed 2025-08-05: price +11.8%Q2 25Q3 25 revenue +62.8% year on yearQ3 25 filed 2025-11-04: price -9.3%Q1 26 revenue +84.7% year on yearQ1 26 filed 2026-05-05: price -8.4%Q1 26

Revenue up year on year Revenue down Price move around the filing separate scales — a crossing means nothing

Quarter endingFiledRevenue YoY Move around filingNext 20 sessions vs SPY
2026-03-31 2026-05-05 +84.7% -8.4% +2.7%
2025-09-30 2025-11-04 +62.8% -9.3% -6.3%
2025-06-30 2025-08-05 +48.0% +11.8% -15.6%
2025-03-31 2025-05-06 +39.3% -10.7% +2.9%

Share count

Diluted shares over time

Diluted shares Return since the previous filing

Direction Flat — little net change
Diluted shares 2,570.9M as at 2026-03-31
Change over 1 year +0.7%
Change over 3 years +15.9%
Public float $299.30bn as at 2025-06-30 (10-K)

History before 2021-03-31 is not shown. The share count jumps at that date by a ratio no ordinary issuance produces — a split whose factor is not in Brown Bear's split store — so earlier figures are on a different basis and cannot be compared with today's.

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyWait For Pullback
Reference band 156.12 — 156.12
Protective stop 145.02 (Structure, 7.1% risk)
Support 148.83 (2 touches, 20.3% away)
Resistance — (— away)

Takeaway The shares are about 20.3% above 148.83, a price buyers have stepped in at before. There is no ceiling to point to, because the stock is trading where it has not traded before and nobody has sold it at these levels. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 7.1% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice ABOVE the cloud | periods 6/16/32 (61% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BULL (fresh up, 6d ago)
Cloud thickness85% percentile (thick — substantial structure)
Chikou spanAbove price from 26 periods ago
Weekly cloudPrice ABOVE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored)

Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 147.24 to 159.19. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages agree with that. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.

Trailing returns

21 days +33.8%
63 days +37.6%
126 days +31.9%
252 days -4.3%
Below 252d high13.6%

Trend context

PositionFar above trend
ExtensionExtended
Trend slopeRising
Direction of travelDiverging from trend

Takeaway Positive Kalman trend with moderate extension; constructive for momentum but watch entry risk.

Volatility

State Expanded out of a squeeze
Current band width61.4% of price
Recent tightest14.8% (8 sessions ago, narrower than 82.0% of its history)
Expansion since4.16×
Band 99.38 — 187.52

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 61% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 82% of the time. It has started moving again since, swinging about 4.2 times as widely as during that quiet spell. A stock that has been quiet tends to make its next move look big by comparison, simply because the recent bar was low.

Historical trends

0255075100Share price 107.27–175.232026-06-212026-08-13
Position Health Business Conviction Share price

History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.

Repair Pathway

  1. Nearest Trigger Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Deteriorating
  2. Trigger 2 Relative momentum rank back above 0.45 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
  3. Trigger 3 Relative momentum rank above 0.55 +0.29 rank relative momentum leadership is not yet strong enough for the next action tier; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityInsider selling
Buy filings0
Sell filings18
Shares sold256,513
Value sold$34.5m
Latest sell2026-08-06
FiledInsiderSharesValue
2026-08-06 Sold Sankar ShyamSee Remarks 2,735 $419,562
2026-08-06 Sold Sankar ShyamSee Remarks 6,191 $957,457

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Above its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.

Options Positioning

No binary-event flag

PLTR: no binary-event flag. Near IV 47%, far IV 49% (ratio 0.97), implied move 5.6%.

Implied volatility 47% near (8d) · 49% far (64d)
Term structure 0.97× near/far
Historical volatility 121%
Implied vs historical 0.39×
Implied move ±5.6% by 2026-08-21
Implied move vs ATR 0.46×
Skew Flat (1.02×)
Call wall 200.00 (+11.7% away)
Put wall 110.00 (-38.5% away)
Gamma pin 140.00

Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 5.6% in either direction by 2026-08-21.

Chain as at 2026-08-13. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Stock Leadership Confirmed

Rotation health 100.0/100; Strong Rotation Tailwind.

Rotation health 100.0
Rotation strength 82.5
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Leading 122.3 114.2
Stock vs SPY Leading 123.5 112.4
Sector vs SPY Leading 116.9 115.8

Direction of travel: North-East / strengthening leadership

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 7/9 (+20.0)
  • Altman Z-score 254.99 (+10.0)
  • Insider conviction score (+5.0)
  • Gross margin quality: 84.8% (+22.0)
  • ROIC quality: 18.3% (+11.4)
  • FCF margin quality: 47.7% (+20.0)
  • Gross margin improving by 4.5 pts (+2.0)
  • ROIC improving by 12.5 pts (+8.0)
  • FCF margin improving by 7.4 pts (+4.0)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.057) (+5.0)
  • Relative Strength 26.6% vs sector: OUTPERFORMING (+10.0)
  • Track 1: MACD histogram state (4.75) (+8.0)
  • Track 1: relative strength trend improving (+5.0)
  • Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.32 (+12.0)
  • Track 1: bullish DI spread 40.8 (+8.0)
  • Track 1: ADX 34.3 and rising (+8.0)
  • Track 1: EMA20 slope improving 11.5% (+5.0)
  • Track 1: MACD histogram acceleration 1.05 (+10.0)
  • Track 1: positive MACD regime (+3.0)
  • Track 1: MACD line/signal repair quality (+8.0)
  • Track 1: MACD slope improving (+5.0)
  • Track 1: VPT strength 0.06 (+1.3)
  • Track 1: price above EMA50 by 27.1% (+5.0)
  • Track 1: EMA50 slope improving 7.8% (+3.0)
  • Track 1: Bollinger position 0.90 (+0.8)
  • Regime convergence: MOMENTUM_BREAKOUT_CONTINUATION confidence 97.0/100 (STRONG) (+19.4)

Negative signals

  • Weak relative momentum rank (0.26)
  • Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 79.1, 5-day change +14.2
  • Chase risk 77.9/100 (Exhaustion Risk): RSI 79.1, EMA20 18.8%, EMA50 27.1%, BB 0.90, distribution 2.0/100
  • Chase risk 77.9/100 | Extension score 22.1/100 | Exhaustion Risk