POWL
Some scores are at the bottom of their range
This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.
- Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -40.1
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +110.5% · range 85.72–322.05
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | 14.0% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | 15.1% |
| FCF / revenue | 15.2% |
| Gross margin | 30.1% |
| ROIC | 32.9% |
| Forward P/E | — |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).
Price vs Earnings growth
Insufficient data to compare price against forward earnings growth
Confidence 25.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | +110.5% |
|---|
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
Reported earnings
Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (1.25–4.23, own scale) Derived Q4
12 quarters to Q1 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | EPS reported | vs consensus | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 296.62m | +6.5% | 45.89m | 1.25 | 1.25 | -10.0% | 2026-05-05 |
| 2025-12-31 | 251.18m | +4.0% | 41.39m | 3.40 | 1.14 | +15.0% | 2026-02-04 |
| 2025-09-30 (derived) | 297.98m | +8.3% | 51.42m | 4.23 | 1.41 | +9.5% | 2025-11-19 |
| 2025-06-30 | 286.27m | -0.7% | 48.23m | 3.96 | — | — | 2025-08-06 |
| 2025-03-31 | 278.63m | +9.2% | 46.33m | 3.81 | — | — | 2025-05-07 |
| 2024-12-31 | 241.43m | +24.4% | 34.76m | 2.86 | — | — | 2025-02-07 |
| 2024-09-30 (derived) | 275.06m | +31.8% | 46.05m | 3.78 | — | — | 2024-11-20 |
| 2024-06-30 | 288.17m | +49.8% | 46.22m | 3.79 | — | — | 2024-07-31 |
| 2024-03-31 | 255.11m | — | 33.49m | 2.75 | — | — | 2024-05-01 |
| 2023-12-31 | 194.02m | — | 24.09m | 1.98 | — | — | 2024-01-31 |
| 2023-09-30 (derived) | 208.64m | — | 26.44m | 2.18 | — | — | 2023-12-06 |
| 2023-06-30 | 192.37m | — | 18.45m | 1.52 | — | — | 2023-08-02 |
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Fair Value Anchor |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 165.73 — 192.71 |
| Protective stop | 157.54 (Atr, 12.1% risk) |
| Support | 186.29 (3 touches, 2.9% away) |
| Resistance | 219.07 (14.2% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 2.9% above 186.29, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 14.2% below 219.07, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 3 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 12.1% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 9/25/51 (98% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud thickness | 96% percentile (thick — substantial structure) |
| Chikou span | Not clear of price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 216.93 to 250.80. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | -4.6% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -35.2% |
| 126 days | +4.8% |
| 252 days | +122.7% |
| Below 252d high | 40.5% |
Trend context
| Position | Far above trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Extremely extended |
| Trend slope | Rising |
| Direction of travel | Diverging from trend |
Takeaway Extreme upside extension is still moving away from fair trend; chase risk is elevated.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 17.0% of price |
| Recent tightest | 15.9% (3 sessions ago, narrower than 86.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.07× |
| Band | 187.75 — 222.64 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 17% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 86% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger MACD histogram acceleration turns positive repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 MACD bullish crossover secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 MACD histogram above zero 0.07 gap is broadly stable; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Relative strength stabilisation state change relative momentum rank supports RS stabilisation; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; chase risk lowers upgrade comfort · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | Mixed buying and selling |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 1 |
| Sell filings | 12 |
| Shares bought | 36,000 |
| Shares sold | 49,648 |
| Value bought | $360 |
| Value sold | $13.7m |
| Latest buy | 2026-07-01 |
| Latest sell | 2026-08-14 |
| Filed | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Sold Williams Richard EDirector | 2,250 | $456,862 |
| 2026-08-13 | Sold COPE BRETT ALANPresident & CEO | 4,500 | $931,545 |
| 2026-07-09 | Sold COPE BRETT ALANPresident & CEO | 4,440 | $1,072,482 |
| 2026-07-01 | Bought COPE BRETT ALANPresident & CEO | 36,000 | $360 |
| 2026-06-30 | Sold METCALF MICHAEL WILLIAMExec Vice President | 187 | $52,369 |
| 2026-06-30 | Sold METCALF MICHAEL WILLIAMExec Vice President | 619 | $174,075 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Below its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.
Options Positioning
no listed options chain
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Repair Attempt
Rotation health 55.9/100; Mixed Rotation.
| Rotation health | 55.9 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 59.8 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 113.3 | 98.3 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 109.2 | 99.7 |
| Sector vs SPY | Lagging | 81.0 | 94.8 |
Direction of travel: South-East / trend strong but momentum cooling
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 6/9 (+15.0)
- Altman Z-score 12.64 (+10.0)
- Insider conviction score (+3.0)
- Gross margin quality: 30.1% (+3.7)
- ROIC quality: 32.9% (+23.9)
- FCF margin quality: 15.2% (+10.1)
- Gross margin improving by 3.1 pts (+2.0)
- FCF margin improving by 4.5 pts (+2.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.012) (+2.0)
- Accrual ratio improving (0.04 -> 0.01) (+5.0)
- Track 1: MACD histogram state (-0.07) (+3.0)
- Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.38 (+12.0)
- Track 1: ADX 33.0 and flat (+6.0)
- Track 1: relative momentum rank 0.96 (+5.0)
- Track 1: EMA200 support proximity 5.3% (+3.3)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.11 (+7.1)
- Regime convergence: TREND_EXHAUSTION confidence 75.0/100 (STRONG) (-15.0)
Negative signals
- Underperforming sector over 20 days
- Track 1: weak volume confirmation (0.67x average)
- Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
- Track 1: bearish DI spread (-12.8)
- Track 1: price below EMA20 by 6.9%
- Track 1: EMA20 slope deteriorating -3.9%
- Track 1: MACD histogram deteriorating (-1.46)
- Track 1: weak MACD line/signal structure (-8.0)
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 37.4, 5-day change -5.1
- Track 1: weak VPT confirmation (-0.01)
- Track 1: price below EMA50 by 14.7%
- Track 1: EMA50 slope deteriorating -5.2%
- ROIC improving by -2.9 pts (+-5.0)
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.