QS

QuantumScape ·Consumer Discretionary
5.84 live · 2026-08-27 14:57
8.3%
Brown Bear Score
15.1%
Business Conviction Score
28.4%
Position Health Score
0.0%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -31.1% · range 4.88–18.44

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / revenue
Gross margin 0.0%
ROIC -34.6%
Forward P/E -8.4

No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.

Price vs Earnings growth

Trailing EPS is negative (-0.66) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist

Confidence 25.0/100

Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyCurrent Price Reasonable
Reference band 5.65 — 5.80
Protective stop 5.03 (Atr, 12.1% risk)
Support (0 touches, — away)
Resistance 6.15 (7.2% away)

Takeaway The shares are about 7.2% below 6.15, where sellers have turned up before. There is no floor to point to in the recent record. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 12.1% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice BELOW the cloud | periods 8/23/46 (89% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BEAR
Cloud eventFresh down breakout 6d ago
Cloud thickness30% percentile (thin — little structure to fight through)
Chikou spanAbove price from 26 periods ago
Weekly cloudPrice BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored)

Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 5.95 to 6.32. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages point the other way, so this is a mixed reading rather than a clear one.

Trailing returns

21 days +11.0%
63 days -37.0%
126 days -18.3%
252 days -28.7%
Below 252d high68.9%

Trend context

PositionAt trend
ExtensionNormal
Trend slopeFalling
Direction of travelHolding its deviation

Takeaway The share price is close to the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is drifting down. The gap between the two has been fairly steady. Neither is stretched far enough to stand out.

Volatility

State No recent compression
Current band width24.0% of price
Recent tightest24.0% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 64.0% of its history)
Expansion since1.00×
Band 5.13 — 6.53

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 24% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.

Historical trends

02550751002026-06-222026-08-26
Position Health Business Conviction

History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.

Repair Pathway

  1. Nearest Trigger Relative momentum rank back above 0.45 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
  2. Trigger 2 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
  3. Trigger 3 MACD histogram acceleration turns positive secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
  4. Trigger 4 EMA20 reclaim +2.5% gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable
  5. Trigger 5 EMA50 reclaim +8.8% gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityInsider selling
Buy filings0
Sell filings7
Shares sold211,444
Value sold$1.5m
Latest sell2026-08-21
FiledInsiderSharesValue
2026-08-21 Sold Holme TimothyCHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER 12,723 $76,516
2026-08-19 Sold Holme TimothyCHIEF TECHNOLOGY OFFICER 20,345 $117,140

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Below its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.

Options Positioning

No binary-event flag

QS: no binary-event flag. Near IV 71%, far IV 80% (ratio 0.88), implied move 8.4%.

Implied volatility 71% near (8d) · 80% far (85d)
Term structure 0.88× near/far
Historical volatility 60%
Implied vs historical 1.19×
Implied move ±8.4% by 2026-09-04
Implied move vs ATR 0.68×
Skew Flat (1.02×)
Call wall 10.00 (+71.4% away)
Put wall 5.00 (-14.3% away)
Gamma pin 4.00

Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 8.4% in either direction by 2026-09-04.

Chain as at 2026-08-27. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed

Rotation health 46.6/100; Mixed Rotation.

Rotation health 46.6
Rotation strength 80.0
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Weakening 111.0 82.5
Stock vs SPY Weakening 111.3 82.7
Sector vs SPY Weakening 110.8 88.9

Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 4/9 (+3.0)
  • Altman Z-score 14.38 (+6.0)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.147) (+3.0)
  • Relative Strength 5.5% vs sector: OUTPERFORMING (+9.5)
  • Track 2: MACD line/signal trend quality (+5.8)
  • Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
  • Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.50 (+30.2)
  • Track 2: bullish DI spread 5.6 (+2.9)
  • Track 2: Bollinger position 0.44 (+3.3)

Negative signals

  • Track 2: negative MACD regime (-3.7)
  • Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.93x average)
  • Track 2: weak/falling ADX (27.7, falling)
  • Weak relative momentum rank (0.07)
  • Track 2: price below EMA20 by 2.5%
  • Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -1.0%
  • Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 54.1, 5-day change -10.0
  • Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (-0.00)
  • Track 2: price below EMA50 by 8.1%
  • Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -2.7%
  • FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
  • Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 12.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.

Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.