RBLX

Roblox ·Communication Services
38.51 live · 2026-08-27 15:00

Some scores are at the bottom of their range

This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.

  • Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -52.8
1.8%
Brown Bear Score
10.3%
Business Conviction Score
14.8%
Position Health Score
28.4%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -69.9% · range 35.54–141.56

Score trends appear once the scores have been recorded on more than one trading day.

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / revenue
Gross margin 0.0%
ROIC 0.0%
Forward P/E -30.1

No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.

Price vs Earnings growth

Trailing EPS is negative (-1.35) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist

Confidence 35.0/100

Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyCurrent Price Reasonable
Reference band 37.00 — 37.94
Protective stop 34.39 (Structure, 8.2% risk)
Support 35.28 (2 touches, 6.5% away)
Resistance 39.75 (5.8% away)

Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 5.8% below 39.75, where sellers have turned up before, and 6.5% above 35.28, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 8.2% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice BELOW the cloud | periods 9/26/51 (98% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR
Cloud thickness98% percentile (thick — substantial structure)
Chikou spanNot clear of price from 26 periods ago
Weekly cloudPrice BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored)

Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 39.26 to 46.16. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.

Trailing returns

21 days -24.1%
63 days -17.7%
126 days -44.8%
252 days -69.9%
Below 252d high73.5%

Trend context

PositionFar below trend
ExtensionDeeply oversold
Trend slopeFalling sharply
Direction of travelDiverging from trend

Takeaway Extreme downside deviation from Kalman fair trend; requires repair confirmation.

Volatility

State No recent compression
Current band width28.9% of price
Recent tightest28.9% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 47.0% of its history)
Expansion since1.00×
Band 32.50 — 43.47

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 29% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.

Repair Pathway

  1. Nearest Trigger Positive 20-day momentum acceleration repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
  2. Trigger 2 Relative momentum rank back above 0.45 secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
  3. Trigger 3 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
  4. Trigger 4 EMA50 reclaim +16.8% gap is improving · Broadly stable
  5. Trigger 5 EMA20 reclaim +5.9% gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityInsider selling
Buy filings0
Sell filings14
Shares sold118,141
Value sold$4.5m
Latest sell2026-08-25
FiledInsiderSharesValue
2026-08-25 Sold Rawlings Amy MarieChief Accounting Officer 237 $9,217
2026-08-24 Sold BUCKLEY SEAN JACKChief People & Systems Officer 4,321 $167,136

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Below its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.

Options Positioning

no listed options chain

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Leadership Cooling

Rotation health 84.8/100; Strong Rotation Tailwind.

Rotation health 84.8
Rotation strength 64.0
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Improving 99.3 111.0
Stock vs SPY Leading 100.5 111.9
Sector vs SPY Leading 128.0 120.4

Direction of travel: South-East / trend strong but momentum cooling

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
  • Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
  • Track 2: MACD histogram state (0.54) (+4.6)
  • Track 2: MACD line/signal trend quality (+8.7)
  • Track 2: MACD slope expanding (+2.9)
  • Track 2: bullish DI spread 14.3 (+7.6)
  • Track 2: ADX 45.6 and falling (+9.5)
  • Track 2: MACD histogram acceleration 0.31 (+2.3)
  • Track 2: RSI trend quality 57.0, 5-day change +28.0 (+11.4)
  • Track 2: Bollinger position 0.46 (+3.5)

Negative signals

  • Underperforming sector over 20 days
  • Track 2: negative MACD regime (-3.7)
  • Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.69x average)
  • Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
  • Track 2: negative 20-day momentum acceleration (-0.17)
  • Weak relative momentum rank (0.00)
  • Track 2: price below EMA20 by 5.6%
  • Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -2.1%
  • Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (-0.15)
  • Track 2: price below EMA50 by 14.4%
  • Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -5.9%
  • FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
  • Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.

Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.