RIO
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +69.0% · range 61.87–112.04
Score trends appear once the scores have been recorded on more than one trading day.
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / revenue | — |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 0.0% |
| ROIC | 0.0% |
| Forward P/E | 12.1 |
No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.
Price vs Earnings growth
Price has run ahead of forward EPS growth by 49.4pp
Confidence 95.0/100
Drivers
| Forward EPS growth | +19.6% |
|---|---|
| Trailing price return (1y) | +69.0% |
| Forward P/E compression | +16.4% |
Figures
| Trailing EPS | 7.23 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 8.65 |
| Trailing P/E | 14.48 |
| Forward P/E | 12.10 |
Takeaway Price has moved further than forward earnings growth currently justifies — worth weighing against the rest of the entry case.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Fair Value Anchor |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 99.50 — 105.22 |
| Protective stop | 98.02 (Atr, 4.2% risk) |
| Support | 98.00 (2 touches, 6.8% away) |
| Resistance | 107.37 (2.5% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 2.5% below 107.37, where sellers have turned up before, and 6.8% above 98.00, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 4.2% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price ABOVE the cloud | periods 8/23/46 (88% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BULL |
| Cloud event | Fresh up breakout 5d ago |
| Cloud thickness | 48% percentile |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price ABOVE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 96.78 to 100.30. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +14.3% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -1.8% |
| 126 days | +3.9% |
| 252 days | +68.0% |
| Below 252d high | 6.6% |
Trend context
| Position | Above trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Extremely extended |
| Trend slope | Rising |
| Direction of travel | Diverging from trend |
Takeaway Extreme upside extension is still moving away from fair trend; chase risk is elevated.
Volatility
| State | No recent compression |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 13.2% of price |
| Recent tightest | 13.2% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 65.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 93.75 — 106.98 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 13% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Moderate |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway More shares change hands on the days this stock rises than on the days it falls. That is what you would expect to see if the rise is being driven by real buying rather than drifting up on a thin market.
Options Positioning
no listed options chain
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Repair Attempt
Rotation health 82.0/100; Strong Rotation Tailwind.
| Rotation health | 82.0 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 61.3 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 112.7 | 93.1 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 116.1 | 96.2 |
| Sector vs SPY | Leading | 118.7 | 107.5 |
Direction of travel: North-West / early recovery
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
- Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
- Track 2: MACD histogram state (0.68) (+4.6)
- Track 2: MACD line/signal trend quality (+8.7)
- Track 2: positive MACD trend regime (+5.8)
- Track 2: MACD slope expanding (+2.9)
- Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
- Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.13 (+18.1)
- Track 2: bullish DI spread 18.9 (+7.6)
- Track 2: ADX 38.3 and flat (+11.4)
- Track 2: relative momentum rank 0.91 (+13.1)
- Track 2: price above EMA20 by 4.3% (+2.1)
- Track 2: EMA20 slope expanding 3.0% (+4.6)
- Track 2: MACD histogram acceleration 0.65 (+2.3)
- Track 2: RSI trend quality 60.4, 5-day change +3.5 (+2.7)
- Track 2: VPT strength 0.17 (+3.9)
- Track 2: price above EMA50 by 6.4% (+3.0)
- Track 2: EMA50 slope improving 1.6% (+2.3)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.83 (+6.3)
- Regime convergence: ICHIMOKU_CLOUD_REVERSAL confidence 74.0/100 (EMERGING) (+14.8)
Negative signals
- Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.75x average)
- Track 2: Bearish MACD divergence
- FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
- Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.