SONY

Sony Group ·Consumer Discretionary
23.93 live · 2026-08-27 14:58

Some scores are at the bottom of their range

This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.

  • Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -13.9
1.8%
Brown Bear Score
10.3%
Business Conviction Score
13.9%
Position Health Score
32.7%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -13.5% · range 19.32–30.26

Score trends appear once the scores have been recorded on more than one trading day.

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / revenue
Gross margin 0.0%
ROIC 0.0%
Forward P/E 20.3

No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.

Price vs Earnings growth

Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +14.3pp

Confidence 95.0/100

Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyCurrent Price Reasonable
Reference band 23.76 — 24.36
Protective stop 23.30 (Atr, 3.2% risk)
Support 23.24 (2 touches, 3.8% away)
Resistance (— away)

Takeaway The shares are about 3.8% above 23.24, a price buyers have stepped in at before. There is no ceiling to point to, because the stock is trading where it has not traded before and nobody has sold it at these levels. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 3.2% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice ABOVE the cloud | periods 9/25/50 (97% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BEAR (fresh down cross, 0d ago) | cloud twist BULL
Cloud thickness86% percentile (thick — substantial structure)
Chikou spanAbove price from 26 periods ago
Weekly cloudPrice INSIDE the weekly cloud (context only, not scored)

Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 22.00 to 23.04. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages point the other way, so this is a mixed reading rather than a clear one. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.

Trailing returns

21 days +6.2%
63 days +10.3%
126 days +12.7%
252 days -14.2%
Below 252d high20.3%

Trend context

PositionAbove trend
ExtensionExtended
Trend slopeRising strongly
Direction of travelDiverging from trend

Takeaway Positive Kalman trend with moderate extension; constructive for momentum but watch entry risk.

Volatility

State In a squeeze
Current band width9.7% of price
Recent tightest9.4% (1 sessions ago, narrower than 91.0% of its history)
Expansion since1.03×
Band 22.33 — 24.61

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 10% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 91% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.

Repair Pathway

  1. Nearest Trigger Positive 20-day momentum acceleration repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
  2. Trigger 2 EMA20 continuation hold already above Track 2 pathway: price is above a rising EMA20; sustained hold would support momentum continuation · Broadly stable
  3. Trigger 3 MACD histogram above zero 0.01 gap is broadly stable · Broadly stable
  4. Trigger 4 MACD bullish crossover secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
  5. Trigger 5 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityInsider selling
Buy filings0
Sell filings5
Shares sold598,227
Value sold$13.5m
Latest sell2026-08-17
FiledInsiderSharesValue
2026-08-17 Sold Tanaka KenjiSee Remarks 20,000 $476,600
2026-08-05 Sold Stringer Robert AdrianSee Remarks 445,000 $10,008,050

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Above its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.

Options Positioning

No binary-event flag

SONY: no binary-event flag. Near IV 26%, far IV 32% (ratio 0.81), implied move 3.0%.

Implied volatility 26% near (8d) · 32% far (113d)
Term structure 0.81× near/far
Historical volatility 25%
Implied vs historical 1.02×
Implied move ±3.0% by 2026-09-04
Implied move vs ATR 0.81×
Skew Put Skew (1.24×)
Call wall 25.00 (+4.5% away)
Put wall 22.50 (-6.0% away)
Gamma pin 22.50

Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 3.0% in either direction by 2026-09-04.

Chain as at 2026-08-27. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Leadership Cooling

Rotation health 75.2/100; Strong Rotation Tailwind.

Rotation health 75.2
Rotation strength 67.4
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Improving 100.0 111.2
Stock vs SPY Leading 105.6 106.1
Sector vs SPY Weakening 110.8 88.9

Direction of travel: North-West / early recovery

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
  • Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
  • Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
  • Track 2: bullish DI spread 22.1 (+11.4)
  • Track 2: ADX 44.9 and falling (+9.5)
  • Track 2: price above EMA20 by 3.1% (+1.5)
  • Track 2: EMA20 slope expanding 1.8% (+2.7)
  • Track 2: RSI trend quality 63.7, 5-day change +6.2 (+4.8)
  • Track 2: VPT strength 0.04 (+1.0)
  • Track 2: price above EMA50 by 7.2% (+3.4)
  • Track 2: EMA50 slope improving 3.1% (+3.5)
  • Track 2: Bollinger position 0.78 (+6.0)

Negative signals

  • Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-5.6)
  • Track 2: MACD slope deteriorating (-2.3)
  • Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.69x average)
  • Track 2: negative 20-day momentum acceleration (-0.12)
  • Weak relative momentum rank (0.18)
  • FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
  • Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.

Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.