SOUN
Structural scoring is not meaningful for this business
Structural scoring uses gross margin, free cash flow and Altman Z — measures built for operating companies. For banks, insurers and asset managers they produce artifacts, because the cash-flow statement is dominated by lending and deposit flows rather than operations. Treat the structural and composite figures below as not comparable with other sectors, in either direction.
- Reported free cash flow is far outside the range an operating business can show, indicating balance-sheet rather than operating flows
Some scores are at the bottom of their range
This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.
- Structural Score: displayed 0, underlying value -1.0
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -41.7% · range 5.70–21.40
Score trends appear once the scores have been recorded on more than one trading day.
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | -14.4% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | -14.3% |
| FCF / revenue | -58.1% |
| Gross margin | 40.6% |
| ROIC | -1.4% |
| Forward P/E | -47.5 |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).
Price vs Earnings growth
Trailing EPS is negative (-0.61) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist
Confidence 35.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | -41.7% |
|---|
Figures
| Trailing EPS | -0.61 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | -0.15 |
| Forward P/E | -47.53 |
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
Reported earnings
Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (-0.19–-0.00, own scale) Derived Q4
4 quarters to Q3 22. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The baseline is zero — bars below it are losses. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-09-30 | 11.19m | +177.7% | -28.92m | -0.15 | 2022-11-14 |
| 2022-06-30 | 6.15m | -25.7% | -30.67m | -0.19 | 2022-08-15 |
| 2021-09-30 | 4.03m | — | -191.07k | -0.00 | 2022-11-14 |
| 2021-06-30 | 8.28m | — | -70.54k | -0.00 | 2022-08-15 |
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Growing — shares issued |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 429.8M as at 2026-03-31 |
| Change over 1 year | +50.0% |
| Public float | $3.58bn as at 2025-06-30 (10-K) |
History before 2022-06-30 is not shown. The share count jumps at that date by a ratio no ordinary issuance produces — a split whose factor is not in Brown Bear's split store — so earlier figures are on a different basis and cannot be compared with today's.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Fair Value Anchor |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 6.80 — 7.05 |
| Protective stop | 5.99 (Atr, 13.5% risk) |
| Support | 6.85 (2 touches, 2.3% away) |
| Resistance | 7.16 (2.1% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 2.1% below 7.16, where sellers have turned up before, and 2.3% above 6.85, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 13.5% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price ABOVE the cloud | periods 9/26/51 (99% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BULL |
| Cloud event | Fresh up breakout 3d ago |
| Cloud thickness | 11% percentile (thin — little structure to fight through) |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading above its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 6.92 to 7.00. Being above it means the medium-term picture is pointing upwards, and that band is the first place the stock has recent support if it slips back. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +12.3% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -13.2% |
| 126 days | -17.7% |
| 252 days | -42.1% |
| Below 252d high | 67.2% |
Trend context
| Position | At trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Rising |
| Direction of travel | Converging back to trend |
Takeaway Price is near a rising Kalman fair trend, consistent with a healthy trend setup.
Volatility
| State | No recent compression |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 29.3% of price |
| Recent tightest | 29.3% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 51.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 5.98 — 8.03 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 29% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger Relative momentum rank back above 0.45 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 MACD bullish crossover secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 MACD histogram above zero 0.02 gap is broadly stable · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 EMA20 continuation hold already above Track 2 pathway: price is above a rising EMA20; sustained hold would support momentum continuation · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | Insider selling |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 3 |
| Shares sold | 112,639 |
| Value sold | $840.0k |
| Latest sell | 2026-06-15 |
| Filed | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Sold ZAGORSEK MICHAELChief Operating Officer | 64,994 | $484,712 |
| 2026-06-15 | Sold STONEHOCKER TIMOTHYChief Technology Officer | 18,802 | $140,222 |
| 2026-06-15 | Sold HOM JAMES MINGChief Product Officer | 28,843 | $215,105 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.
Options Positioning
No meaningful positions — the chain was read and nothing in it stands out as pricing a specific event.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 38.0/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 38.0 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 82.6 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 108.9 | 78.0 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 107.7 | 76.9 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 103.8 | 79.2 |
Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Altman Z-score 6.12 (+6.0)
- Insider conviction score (+3.0)
- Gross margin quality: 40.6% (+2.1)
- ROIC improving by 70.1 pts (+3.0)
- FCF margin improving by 70.4 pts (+2.0)
- Relative Strength 10.1% vs sector: OUTPERFORMING (+9.5)
- Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
- Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.35 (+30.2)
- Track 2: ADX 45.4 and rising (+17.2)
- Track 2: price above EMA20 by 0.1% (+0.1)
- Track 2: EMA20 slope expanding 0.6% (+0.9)
- Track 2: VPT strength 0.00 (+0.1)
- Track 2: price above EMA50 by 0.2% (+0.1)
- Track 2: EMA50 slope improving 1.0% (+1.4)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.50 (+3.8)
Negative signals
- Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-7.0)
- Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.90x average)
- Track 2: bearish DI spread (-0.6)
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.03)
- Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 48.9, 5-day change -15.7
- Weak Piotroski F-score (2/9)
- Gross margin improving by -8.3 pts (+-0.9)
- Poor earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.122)
- Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 0.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.