WEC
Some scores are at the bottom of their range
This score sits at the bottom of the 0–100 range. The underlying calculation was negative, so the displayed value is a floor, not a measurement of zero.
- Tactical Score: displayed 0, underlying value -27.2
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +0.3% · range 103.48–118.85
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| OCF / assets | 6.6% |
|---|---|
| FCF / revenue | 34.5% |
| Gross margin | 41.9% |
| ROIC | 5.6% |
| Forward P/E | 18.4 |
This company does not report capital expenditure in the standard filing tag, so free cash flow cannot be derived and FCF/assets is not shown — common for asset managers, REITs, insurers and utilities. OCF/assets is shown instead, and it is the other measure Brown Bear's testing found to survive. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).
Price vs Earnings growth
Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +16.2pp
Confidence 95.0/100
Drivers
| Forward EPS growth | +16.5% |
|---|---|
| Trailing price return (1y) | +0.3% |
| Forward P/E compression | +14.2% |
Figures
| Trailing EPS | 5.15 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 6.00 |
| Trailing P/E | 21.41 |
| Forward P/E | 18.38 |
Revisions
Stable (+0.0%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.
Reported earnings
Revenue Derived Q4
12 quarters to Q1 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | EPS reported | vs consensus | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 3.43bn | +9.0% | — | — | 2.45 | +6.7% | 2026-05-07 |
| 2025-12-31 (derived) | 2.54bn | +11.1% | — | — | 0.97 | -31.3% | 2026-02-20 |
| 2025-09-30 | 2.10bn | +12.9% | — | — | 0.83 | +1.8% | 2025-10-31 |
| 2025-06-30 | 2.01bn | +13.4% | — | — | — | — | 2025-08-01 |
| 2025-03-31 | 3.15bn | +17.5% | — | — | — | — | 2025-05-07 |
| 2024-12-31 (derived) | 2.28bn | +3.0% | — | — | — | — | 2025-02-21 |
| 2024-09-30 | 1.86bn | -4.8% | — | — | — | — | 2024-11-01 |
| 2024-06-30 | 1.77bn | -3.2% | — | — | — | — | 2024-07-31 |
| 2024-03-31 | 2.68bn | — | — | — | — | — | 2024-05-03 |
| 2023-12-31 (derived) | 2.22bn | — | — | — | — | — | 2024-02-22 |
| 2023-09-30 | 1.96bn | — | — | — | — | — | 2023-11-02 |
| 2023-06-30 | 1.83bn | — | — | — | — | — | 2023-08-03 |
Earnings response
| Typical move around a filing | ±1.8% |
|---|---|
| On an ordinary two days | ±1.1% — filings move it 1.6× as much |
| Direction | 5 up, 6 down over 11 filings |
Revenue up year on year Revenue down Price move around the filing separate scales — a crossing means nothing
| Quarter ending | Filed | Revenue YoY | Move around filing | Next 20 sessions vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-07 | +9.0% | -2.0% | +0.3% |
| 2025-09-30 | 2025-10-31 | +12.9% | -1.8% | -1.2% |
| 2025-06-30 | 2025-08-01 | +13.4% | +2.0% | -5.4% |
| 2025-03-31 | 2025-05-07 | +17.5% | -1.6% | -7.4% |
| 2024-09-30 | 2024-11-01 | -4.8% | -0.6% | -1.6% |
| 2024-06-30 | 2024-07-31 | -3.2% | +3.6% | +2.7% |
| 2024-03-31 | 2024-05-03 | -7.2% | -0.3% | -2.2% |
| 2023-09-30 | 2023-11-02 | -2.3% | +1.7% | -2.8% |
| 2023-06-30 | 2023-08-03 | -14.0% | -2.5% | -4.9% |
| 2023-03-31 | 2023-05-04 | -0.7% | +1.8% | -11.4% |
| 2022-09-30 | 2022-11-03 | +14.7% | +1.3% | -2.2% |
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Growing — shares issued |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 328.3M as at 2026-03-31 |
| Change over 1 year | +2.8% |
| Change over 3 years | +3.9% |
| Public float | $33.50bn as at 2025-06-30 (10-K) |
History before 2011-03-31 is not shown. The share count jumps at that date by a ratio no ordinary issuance produces — a split whose factor is not in Brown Bear's split store — so earlier figures are on a different basis and cannot be compared with today's.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | At Support Zone |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 107.22 — 110.47 |
| Protective stop | 103.47 (Atr, 4.9% risk) |
| Support | 108.31 (5 touches, 1.8% away) |
| Resistance | 110.48 (0.2% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 0.2% below 110.48, where sellers have turned up before, and 1.8% above 108.31, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 5 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 4.9% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price INSIDE the cloud | periods 5/14/29 (55% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud thickness | 98% percentile (thick — substantial structure) |
| Chikou span | Not clear of price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading inside its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 108.94 to 112.69. Inside the band those averages disagree with each other, so the indicator is not saying much either way. Its shorter-term averages agree with that. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | -2.4% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -1.7% |
| 126 days | -2.5% |
| 252 days | +0.8% |
| Below 252d high | 7.2% |
Trend context
| Position | At trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Flat |
| Direction of travel | Converging back to trend |
Takeaway The share price is close to the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is going sideways. The gap between the two has been closing. Neither is stretched far enough to stand out.
Volatility
| State | No recent compression |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 10.1% of price |
| Recent tightest | 7.6% (9 sessions ago, narrower than 20.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.33× |
| Band | 105.13 — 116.31 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 10% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger EMA20 reclaim +0.0% gap is improving · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 MACD histogram above zero 0.09 gap is improving · Improving
- Trigger 3 MACD bullish crossover line/signal spread gap is improving · Improving
- Trigger 4 EMA50 reclaim +1.7% gap is improving · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 MACD repair streak continuation 3 improving bars MACD histogram has improved for 3 consecutive sessions · Improving
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Moderate |
| Event | Absorption (today) |
|---|---|
| Volume percentile | 91% |
| Range percentile | 17% |
| Close within the bar | 76% of range |
| Event level | 109.30 (held) |
Takeaway More shares change hands on the days this stock rises than on the days it falls. That is what you would expect to see if the rise is being driven by real buying rather than drifting up on a thin market. There was also a day today when a great many shares changed hands and the price barely moved — buyers took everything that was offered without the price falling, and it has held since.
Options Positioning
No binary-event flag
WEC: no binary-event flag. Near IV 24%, far IV 18% (ratio 1.31), implied move 2.6%.
| Implied volatility | 24% near (7d) · 18% far (63d) — Term structure inverted — the market is pricing an event in the near window |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 1.31× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 18% |
| Implied vs historical | 1.34× |
| Implied move | ±2.6% by 2026-08-21 |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.52× |
| Skew | Put Skew (2.76×) |
| Call wall | 110.00 (+0.3% away) |
| Put wall | 100.00 (-8.8% away) |
| Gamma pin | 110.00 |
- Term structure inverted (near 24% IV vs far 18% IV, ratio 1.31)
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs more for the next few weeks than for the next few months. Traders usually pay up like that when they know something is coming soon — results, a court ruling, a regulatory decision. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 2.6% in either direction by 2026-08-21.
Chain as at 2026-08-14. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Leadership Cooling
Rotation health 55.8/100; Mixed Rotation.
| Rotation health | 55.8 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 66.0 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Improving | 98.3 | 108.2 |
| Stock vs SPY | Improving | 84.1 | 113.0 |
| Sector vs SPY | Lagging | 81.7 | 94.6 |
Direction of travel: South-East / trend strong but momentum cooling
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 4/9 (+3.0)
- Gross margin quality: 41.9% (+2.2)
- ROIC quality: 5.6% (+0.2)
- FCF margin quality: 34.5% (+6.0)
- FCF margin improving by -2.9 pts (+-1.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.035) (+1.0)
- Track 2: volume expansion 1.21x average (+1.1)
- Track 2: ADX 19.8 and rising (+2.0)
- Track 2: MACD histogram acceleration 0.53 (+4.0)
- Track 2: RSI trend quality 30.1, 5-day change +0.4 (+0.2)
- Track 2: VPT strength 0.16 (+3.8)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.46 (+3.7)
- Regime convergence: SUPPORT_RESISTANCE_BOUNCE confidence 60.0/100 (EMERGING) (+12.0)
Negative signals
- Track 2: weak MACD line/signal structure (-12.0)
- Track 2: negative MACD regime (-8.0)
- Track 2: MACD slope deteriorating (-5.0)
- Track 2: negative 20-day momentum acceleration (-0.04)
- Track 2: bearish DI spread (-13.5)
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.36)
- Track 2: price below EMA20 by 0.0%
- Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -1.3%
- Track 2: price below EMA50 by 1.7%
- Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -1.6%
- Below-average Altman Z-score (2.16)
- Gross margin improving by -2.1 pts (+-1.0)
- ROIC improving by -0.4 pts (+-2.0)
- Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 8.4/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.