WINA
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -23.0% · range 331.35–517.89
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / assets | 179.7% |
|---|---|
| OCF / assets | 180.4% |
| FCF / revenue | 52.2% |
| Gross margin | 96.7% |
| ROIC | 289.2% |
| Forward P/E | 28.6 |
FCF/assets and OCF/assets are the cash-flow measures Brown Bear's own testing found to survive; FCF/revenue is shown alongside for context. Assets are from the latest annual filing (FY2025).
Price vs Earnings growth
Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +33.2pp
Confidence 95.0/100
Drivers
| Forward EPS growth | +10.2% |
|---|---|
| Trailing price return (1y) | -23.0% |
| Forward P/E compression | +9.3% |
Figures
| Trailing EPS | 10.97 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 12.09 |
| Trailing P/E | 31.55 |
| Forward P/E | 28.62 |
Revisions
Stable (+0.0%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.
Reported earnings
Revenue Net incomeEPS (GAAP) (2.41–3.05, own scale) Derived Q4
12 quarters to Q2 26. Revenue and net income share one scale, so the gap between them is the margin. The line is GAAP EPS — it spans every quarter shown, where the reported figure only goes back as far as the consensus feed does.
| Quarter ending | Revenue | YoY | Net income | EPS (GAAP) | EPS reported | vs consensus | Filed |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | 21.97m | +7.6% | 10.39m | 2.81 | 2.81 | -12.3% | 2026-07-15 |
| 2026-03-28 | 20.85m | -4.9% | 9.25m | 2.50 | 2.50 | -9.2% | 2026-04-15 |
| 2025-12-27 (derived) | 21.09m | +7.9% | 9.96m | 2.70 | 2.69 | -5.1% | 2026-02-25 |
| 2025-09-27 | 22.63m | +5.2% | 11.14m | 3.02 | 3.02 | -8.1% | 2025-10-15 |
| 2025-06-28 | 20.42m | +1.5% | 10.60m | 2.89 | — | — | 2025-07-15 |
| 2025-03-29 | 21.92m | +9.0% | 9.96m | 2.71 | — | — | 2025-04-16 |
| 2024-12-28 (derived) | 19.55m | -2.5% | 9.58m | 2.61 | — | — | 2025-02-26 |
| 2024-09-28 | 21.51m | -3.6% | 11.12m | 3.03 | — | — | 2024-10-16 |
| 2024-06-29 | 20.12m | — | 10.43m | 2.85 | — | — | 2024-07-17 |
| 2024-03-30 | 20.11m | — | 8.82m | 2.41 | — | — | 2024-04-17 |
| 2023-12-30 (derived) | 20.04m | — | 9.72m | 2.67 | — | — | 2024-02-28 |
| 2023-09-30 | 22.32m | — | 11.15m | 3.05 | — | — | 2023-10-18 |
Share count
Diluted shares Return since the previous filing
| Direction | Flat — little net change |
|---|---|
| Diluted shares | 3.7M as at 2026-06-27 |
| Change over 1 year | +0.6% |
| Change over 3 years | +1.7% |
| Public float | $888.32m as at 2025-06-28 (10-K) |
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | At Support Zone |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 335.81 — 345.98 |
| Protective stop | 310.74 (Atr, 8.8% risk) |
| Support | 339.20 (4 touches, 2.0% away) |
| Resistance | 352.89 (2.0% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 2.0% below 352.89, where sellers have turned up before, and 2.0% above 339.20, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 4 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 8.8% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 8/24/47 (90% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud thickness | 92% percentile (thick — substantial structure) |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 356.53 to 381.67. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that. The band is unusually wide at the moment, so it marks a broad zone rather than a single level.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | -0.1% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -9.8% |
| 126 days | -21.4% |
| 252 days | -24.4% |
| Below 252d high | 33.2% |
Trend context
| Position | Below trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Oversold |
| Trend slope | Flat |
| Direction of travel | Diverging from trend |
Takeaway Oversold relative to a stable or improving Kalman trend.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 13.0% of price |
| Recent tightest | 13.0% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 82.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 328.36 — 374.19 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 13% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 82% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger RSI recovery above 50 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst; quality oversold repair prioritises repair confirmation; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; oversold context may support repair · Deteriorating rapidly
- Trigger 2 Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; oversold context may support repair · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 EMA50 reclaim +5.5% gap is improving; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; oversold context may support repair · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 ADX turns up from weak trend zone secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; oversold context may support repair · Improving rapidly
- Trigger 5 EMA20 reclaim +1.9% gap is deteriorating; quality oversold repair prioritises repair confirmation; Kalman divergence weakens pathway; oversold context may support repair · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Below its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.
Options Positioning
no listed options chain
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Leadership Cooling
Rotation health 84.6/100; Strong Rotation Tailwind.
| Rotation health | 84.6 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 62.4 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Leading | 111.9 | 114.7 |
| Stock vs SPY | Leading | 113.8 | 104.7 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 110.8 | 88.9 |
Direction of travel: North-East / strengthening leadership
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+10.0)
- Altman Z-score 20.33 (+10.0)
- Gross margin quality: 96.7% (+22.0)
- ROIC quality: 289.2% (+30.0)
- FCF margin quality: 52.2% (+20.0)
- ROIC improving by 40.6 pts (+10.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.130) (+8.0)
- Accrual ratio improving (-0.08 -> -0.13) (+5.0)
- Track 1: MACD histogram state (0.68) (+6.0)
- Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.25 (+12.0)
- Track 1: MACD line/signal repair quality (+8.0)
- Track 1: MACD slope improving (+3.0)
- Track 1: EMA50 support proximity 5.2% (+0.7)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.39 (+4.9)
- Regime convergence: QUALITY_OVERSOLD_REPAIR confidence 60.0/100 (EMERGING) (+12.0)
Negative signals
- Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
- Track 1: bearish DI spread (-7.3)
- Track 1: weak/falling ADX (14.3, falling)
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.09)
- Track 1: price below EMA20 by 1.8%
- Track 1: EMA20 slope deteriorating -1.1%
- Track 1: MACD histogram deteriorating (-0.46)
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 46.3, 5-day change -13.2
- Track 1: weak VPT confirmation (-0.14)
- Track 1: price below EMA50 by 5.2%
- Track 1: EMA50 slope deteriorating -2.3%
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.