WOLF

Wolfspeed ·Technology
26.90 live · 2026-08-27 14:57
4.4%
Brown Bear Score
10.9%
Business Conviction Score
22.1%
Position Health Score
9.0%
Chase Risk
Daily closes

Daily closes · 1Y (229 sessions) · +21.9% · range 14.80–73.50

The Businesswhat the company reports

Business & cash flow

FCF / revenue
Gross margin 0.0%
ROIC 0.0%
Forward P/E -4.6

No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.

Price vs Earnings growth

Trailing EPS is negative (-12.13) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist

Confidence 35.0/100

Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.

The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑

Price Levels

StrategyFair Value Anchor
Reference band 23.10 — 27.06
Protective stop 18.24 (Atr, 27.3% risk)
Support 15.55 (2 touches, 73.2% away)
Resistance 32.91 (22.2% away)

Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 22.2% below 32.91, where sellers have turned up before, and 73.2% above 15.55, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 27.3% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.

Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.

Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)

Daily cloudPrice BELOW the cloud | periods 7/20/40 (77% of classic 9/26/52)
LinesTenkan/Kijun BULL | cloud twist BEAR
Cloud eventFresh down breakout 4d ago
Cloud thickness68% percentile
Chikou spanAbove price from 26 periods ago

Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 27.96 to 34.09. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages point the other way, so this is a mixed reading rather than a clear one.

Trailing returns

21 days +23.1%
63 days -57.4%
126 days +31.6%
252 days
Below 252d high63.4%

Trend context

PositionFar above trend
ExtensionNormal
Trend slopeRising
Direction of travelConverging back to trend

Takeaway The share price is well above the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is climbing. The gap between the two has been closing. Neither is stretched far enough to stand out.

Volatility

State No recent compression
Current band width48.0% of price
Recent tightest48.0% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 74.0% of its history)
Expansion since1.00×
Band 21.41 — 34.94

Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 48% wide. That is normal for this stock, so there is nothing unusual to read into it either way.

Historical trends

02550751002026-07-082026-08-26
Position Health Business Conviction

History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.

Repair Pathway

  1. Nearest Trigger RSI recovery above 50 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Deteriorating
  2. Trigger 2 Relative momentum leadership holds already satisfied Track 2 pathway: relative momentum leadership is already present; maintaining it supports upgrade pressure · Broadly stable
  3. Trigger 3 MACD histogram acceleration turns positive secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
  4. Trigger 4 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
  5. Trigger 5 EMA20 reclaim +6.0% gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable

Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑

Insider activity

ActivityNo filings in the window
Buy filings0
Sell filings0

Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.

Volume confirmation

Volume-price trend Below its signal line
Confirmation Marginal

No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.

Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.

Options Positioning

No binary-event flag

WOLF: no binary-event flag. Near IV 100%, far IV 116% (ratio 0.87), implied move 12.6%.

Implied volatility 100% near (9d) · 116% far (86d)
Term structure 0.87× near/far
Historical volatility 140%
Implied vs historical 0.72×
Implied move ±12.6% by 2026-09-04
Implied move vs ATR 0.41×
Skew Flat (0.95×)

Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 12.6% in either direction by 2026-09-04.

Chain as at 2026-08-26. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.

Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑

Relative Rotation

ImprovingLeadingLaggingWeakeningvs sectorvs SPYsector vs SPYRS-Ratio →RS-Momentum →

Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed

Rotation health 39.4/100; Negative Rotation.

Rotation health 39.4
Rotation strength 86.1
LegQuadrantRS-RatioRS-Mom
Stock vs sector Weakening 110.0 80.3
Stock vs SPY Weakening 109.6 80.1
Sector vs SPY Weakening 103.8 79.2

Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation

Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.

News Headlines

  1. Loading headlines\u2026

Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.

Detailed Scoring

Positive signals

  • Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+5.0)
  • Altman Z-score 3.00 (+3.0)
  • High earnings quality (accrual ratio 0.000) (+1.0)
  • Relative Strength 9.2% vs sector: OUTPERFORMING (+9.5)
  • Track 2: MACD line/signal trend quality (+5.8)
  • Track 2: relative strength trend improving (+9.5)
  • Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.93 (+30.2)
  • Track 2: bullish DI spread 0.5 (+2.9)
  • Track 2: relative momentum rank 0.75 (+8.0)
  • Track 2: Bollinger position 0.41 (+3.1)

Negative signals

  • Track 2: negative MACD regime (-3.7)
  • Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.66x average)
  • Track 2: weak/falling ADX (28.7, falling)
  • Track 2: price below EMA20 by 5.7%
  • Track 2: EMA20 slope deteriorating -5.8%
  • Track 2: MACD histogram deteriorating (-1.11)
  • Track 2: RSI deterioration/overheating 48.8, 5-day change -10.5
  • Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (-0.02)
  • Track 2: price below EMA50 by 17.1%
  • Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -5.7%
  • FCF margin unavailable: revenue missing from fundamentals cache
  • Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 9.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.

Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.