VLN
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · -11.4% · range 1.11–3.53
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / revenue | -18.0% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 61.8% |
| ROIC | -28.0% |
| Forward P/E | -23.2 |
No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.
Price vs Earnings growth
Trailing EPS is negative (-0.31) and forward EPS is not positive, so a growth percentage does not exist
Confidence 35.0/100
Drivers
| Trailing price return (1y) | -11.4% |
|---|
Figures
| Trailing EPS | -0.31 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | -0.08 |
| Forward P/E | -23.22 |
Revisions
Improving (+7.9%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Low data confidence (limited analyst coverage) — treat this section as informational only.
Valuation: dearer or cheaper than usual
Brown Bear holds too few quarterly filings for this company to measure a valuation range.
Dividends: what it pays you
VLN pays no dividend. Any return from owning it has to come from the share price. That is an ordinary choice rather than a fault — a company keeping its profit is reinvesting it, buying back shares, or holding it.
How similar companies reacted to their last report
| Peers with a recent report | 5 |
|---|---|
| Direction | 1 up, 4 down on their own last report |
| Typical move | ±4.6% |
Revenue up year on year Revenue down Price rose around the report Price fell around the report separate scales — a crossing means nothing
| Ticker | Quarter ending | Reported | Move around report | Next 20 sessions vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRDO Credo Technology Group Holding Ltd | 2026-05-02 (derived) | 2026-06-15 (filing date) | -4.6% | -13.4% |
| MCHP Microchip Technology Incorporated | 2026-03-31 (derived) | 2026-05-21 (filing date) | -0.1% | +1.2% |
| ALAB Astera Labs, Inc. | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 (filing date) | -9.3% | +61.2% |
| SWKS Skyworks Solutions, Inc. | 2026-04-03 | 2026-05-05 (filing date) | -5.6% | +20.9% |
| MPWR Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-04 (filing date) | +0.3% | +2.2% |
Peers are same-sector names closest to VLN by revenue — a coarse comp set, not a hand-picked one.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Current Price Reasonable |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 1.75 — 1.80 |
| Protective stop | 1.64 (Structure, 7.5% risk) |
| Support | 1.70 (2 touches, 4.7% away) |
| Resistance | 1.80 (0.9% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the ceiling than the floor: about 0.9% below 1.80, where sellers have turned up before, and 4.7% above 1.70, where buyers have stepped in before. That floor has held 2 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 7.5% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 7/21/41 (79% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud event | Fresh down breakout 1d ago |
| Cloud thickness | 3% percentile (thin — little structure to fight through) |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 1.81 to 1.82. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +13.4% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -46.9% |
| 126 days | +20.3% |
| 252 days | -12.3% |
| Below 252d high | 49.6% |
Trend context
| Position | At trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Flat |
| Direction of travel | Holding its deviation |
Takeaway The share price is close to the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is going sideways. The gap between the two has been fairly steady. Neither is stretched far enough to stand out.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 18.3% of price |
| Recent tightest | 18.3% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 98.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 1.63 — 1.96 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 18% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 98% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger EMA20 reclaim +1.2% gap is improving · Broadly stable
- Trigger 2 Relative momentum rank back above 0.45 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 Volume confirmation above 1.5x +0.50x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 MACD histogram acceleration turns positive secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
- Trigger 5 EMA50 reclaim +5.9% gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | Insider selling |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 7 |
| Shares sold | 16,858 |
| Value sold | $31.8k |
| Latest sell | 2026-08-07 |
| Filed | Insider | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Sold Rozenberg Haine YaelVP Finance | 625 | $1,062 |
| 2026-07-23 | Sold Rozenberg Haine YaelVP Finance | 2,750 | $4,746 |
| 2026-07-22 | Sold Rozenberg Haine YaelVP Finance | 3,125 | $5,357 |
| 2026-07-20 | Sold Rozenberg Haine YaelVP Finance | 1,458 | $2,493 |
| 2026-07-14 | Sold Yaacobi TalDirector | 3,750 | $7,519 |
| 2026-07-14 | Sold LICHTMAN MOSHEDirector | 3,750 | $7,519 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Insider timeline
| Insider | Filings | Shares | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sold Rozenberg Haine YaelVP Finance 2026-07-20 – 2026-08-07 (4 days) | 4 | 7,958 | $13.7k |
| Sold Yaacobi TalDirector 2026-07-01 – 2026-07-14 (2 days) | 2 | 5,150 | $10.6k |
| Sold LICHTMAN MOSHEDirector 2026-07-14 | 1 | 3,750 | $7.5k |
Open-market purchases and sales only, grouped by person over the last 75 days — one decision is often split across several filings, so the number of filings is not the number of buyers. Sold $31.8k across 3 people. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded. Brown Bear has not found insider buying to predict returns on its own, so this is a record of what was filed, not a recommendation.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Above its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway Slightly more shares change hands on rising days than on falling ones, but the gap is too small to read anything into.
Options Positioning
No binary-event flag
VLN: no binary-event flag. Near IV 146%, far IV 142% (ratio 1.03), implied move 25.8%.
| Implied volatility | 146% near (18d) · 142% far (81d) |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 1.03× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 64% |
| Implied vs historical | 2.27× — Options are priced well above what the stock has actually done |
| Implied move | ±25.8% by 2026-09-18 — Large relative to this stock's normal daily range |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.96× |
| Skew | Flat (1.00×) |
| Call wall | 5.00 (+180.9% away) |
| Put wall | 1.50 (-15.7% away) |
| Gamma pin | 5.00 |
- Implied move 25.8% is 0.96x the ATR-expected 27.0% over 18d
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 25.8% in either direction by 2026-09-18.
Chain as at 2026-08-31. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 44.4/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 44.4 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 77.3 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 111.7 | 85.1 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 111.4 | 85.1 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 107.7 | 85.0 |
Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Insider conviction score (+5.0)
- Gross margin quality: 61.8% (+4.2)
- FCF margin improving by -19.8 pts (+-1.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.140) (+3.0)
- Track 2: MACD line/signal trend quality (+15.0)
- Track 2: MACD slope expanding (+5.0)
- Track 2: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.32 (+20.0)
- Track 2: bullish DI spread 8.5 (+3.0)
- Track 2: ADX 30.4 and flat (+12.0)
- Track 2: EMA20 slope expanding 0.3% (+0.8)
- Track 2: RSI trend quality 56.8, 5-day change +5.4 (+4.3)
- Track 2: Bollinger position 0.45 (+3.6)
Negative signals
- Track 2: negative MACD regime (-8.0)
- Track 2: weak volume for momentum setup (0.69x average)
- Relative strength versus sector deteriorating
- Weak relative momentum rank (0.20)
- Track 2: Bearish MACD divergence
- Track 2: price below EMA20 by 1.1%
- Track 2: weak VPT confirmation (0.00)
- Track 2: price below EMA50 by 5.6%
- Track 2: EMA50 slope deteriorating -2.1%
- Weak Piotroski F-score (2/9)
- Below-average Altman Z-score (1.99)
- ROIC improving by -4.0 pts (+-2.0)
- Track 2 structural exemption: structural score 0.0/100 below the 25 quality floor; this is an unowned speculative candidate, so the universal SELL gate was skipped and the Track 2 momentum/RRG grid was allowed to evaluate instead. Structural quality here is weak by design for this kind of candidate -- treat any resulting BUY as higher risk than a Track 1 signal.
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.