NOK
Daily closes · 1Y (252 sessions) · +134.8% · range 4.23–16.85
The Businesswhat the company reports
Business & cash flow
| FCF / revenue | 10.4% |
|---|---|
| Gross margin | 45.5% |
| ROIC | 4.1% |
| Forward P/E | 20.0 |
No annual filing with both total assets and a cash-flow figure is cached for this name, so neither validated measure can be computed. FCF/revenue is shown instead, which is not the validated measure.
Price vs Earnings growth
Forward EPS growth has outpaced trailing price return by +120.2pp
Confidence 95.0/100
Drivers
| Forward EPS growth | +254.9% |
|---|---|
| Trailing price return (1y) | +134.8% |
| Forward P/E compression | +71.8% |
Figures
| Trailing EPS | 0.14 |
|---|---|
| Forward EPS | 0.50 |
| Trailing P/E | 70.93 |
| Forward P/E | 19.98 |
Revisions
Stable (+0.8%, 10 dates)
Takeaway Earnings growth is outpacing price — consistent with the stock not yet fully reflecting its improving forward estimates.
Valuation: dearer or cheaper than usual
Brown Bear holds too few quarterly filings for this company to measure a valuation range.
Dividends: what it pays you
NOK pays no dividend. Any return from owning it has to come from the share price. That is an ordinary choice rather than a fault — a company keeping its profit is reinvesting it, buying back shares, or holding it.
How similar companies reacted to their last report
| Peers with a recent report | 6 |
|---|---|
| Direction | 1 up, 5 down on their own last report |
| Typical move | ±10.9% |
Revenue up year on year Revenue down Price rose around the report Price fell around the report separate scales — a crossing means nothing
| Ticker | Quarter ending | Reported | Move around report | Next 20 sessions vs SPY |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated | 2026-06-30 | 2026-07-24 (filing date) | -2.0% | -10.2% |
| INTU Intuit Inc. | 2026-04-30 | 2026-05-20 (filing date) | -23.2% | -16.5% |
| SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-11 (filing date) | -7.3% | -9.0% |
| CDW CDW Corporation | 2026-03-31 | 2026-05-06 (filing date) | -19.4% | +20.6% |
| SNDK Sandisk Corporation | 2026-04-03 | 2026-05-01 (filing date) | +14.5% | +30.9% |
| CTSH Cognizant Technology Solutions Corporation | 2026-03-31 | 2026-04-29 (filing date) | -4.0% | +0.9% |
Peers are same-sector names closest to NOK by revenue — a coarse comp set, not a hand-picked one.
The Pricewhat the chart is doingTop ↑
Price Levels
| Strategy | Current Price Reasonable |
|---|---|
| Reference band | 9.78 — 10.03 |
| Protective stop | 9.00 (Atr, 9.1% risk) |
| Support | 9.83 (4 touches, 1.0% away) |
| Resistance | 10.67 (7.5% away) |
Takeaway The shares are nearer the floor than the ceiling: about 1.0% above 9.83, a price buyers have stepped in at before, and 7.5% below 10.67, where sellers have turned up before. That floor has held 4 times, which is how it was spotted. If someone bought at today's price and sold if it dropped through the level below, they would be about 9.1% out of pocket. That is all this figure means — an illustration of the risk, not a price to sell at.
Levels are computed from price structure. They describe where the engine locates support and extension — they are not targets, and not advice.
Ichimoku Cloud (Adaptive)
| Daily cloud | Price BELOW the cloud | periods 9/26/51 (98% of classic 9/26/52) |
|---|---|
| Lines | Tenkan/Kijun BEAR | cloud twist BEAR |
| Cloud event | Fresh down breakout 1d ago |
| Cloud thickness | 66% percentile |
| Chikou span | Above price from 26 periods ago |
| Weekly cloud | Price BELOW the weekly cloud (context only, not scored) |
Takeaway The stock is trading below its cloud — a shaded band drawn from several of its own moving averages, currently 10.19 to 11.46. Being below it means the medium-term picture is pointing downwards, and that band is the first hurdle it would have to climb back through. Its shorter-term averages agree with that.
Trailing returns
| 21 days | +6.1% |
|---|---|
| 63 days | -41.1% |
| 126 days | +23.0% |
| 252 days | +130.9% |
| Below 252d high | 41.1% |
Trend context
| Position | At trend |
|---|---|
| Extension | Normal |
| Trend slope | Falling |
| Direction of travel | Holding its deviation |
Takeaway The share price is close to the level its own longer-run trend suggests is fair, and that fair level is drifting down. The gap between the two has been fairly steady. Neither is stretched far enough to stand out.
Volatility
| State | In a squeeze |
|---|---|
| Current band width | 19.0% of price |
| Recent tightest | 19.0% (0 sessions ago, narrower than 83.0% of its history) |
| Expansion since | 1.00× |
| Band | 9.13 — 11.05 |
Takeaway Lately this share price has been swinging around inside a range roughly 19% wide, and it recently went unusually quiet — calmer than it has been 83% of the time. When a stock goes quiet like this, its next move tends to look big by comparison. But quiet says nothing about which way it will go: Brown Bear tested calm-before-a-move as a reason to buy, and it did not work.
Historical trends
History begins when the site started recording, not when the company listed, so a short line means a short record and nothing more.
Repair Pathway
- Nearest Trigger RSI recovery above 50 repair trigger repair engine identifies this as the nearest technical repair catalyst · Deteriorating rapidly
- Trigger 2 Volume confirmation above 1.2x +0.20x volume confirmation would improve confidence in the pathway · Broadly stable
- Trigger 3 Reclaim EMA20 secondary repair secondary repair catalyst could add confirmation if the primary trigger develops · Broadly stable
- Trigger 4 RSI recovery above 45 +2.1 pts gap is deteriorating · Deteriorating rapidly
- Trigger 5 EMA20 reclaim +2.7% gap is deteriorating · Broadly stable
Who's Tradingthe flow behind the priceTop ↑
Insider activity
| Activity | No filings in the window |
|---|---|
| Buy filings | 0 |
| Sell filings | 0 |
Open-market Form 4 purchases and sales over the last 75 days, read from SEC EDGAR Form 4. Grants, option exercises, gifts and shares withheld for tax are excluded — they are compensation mechanics, not a decision to buy or sell. Reported Form 4 activity. Brown Bear tested insider cluster-buying as a return signal and rejected it as era-unstable; shown as fact, not signal.
Volume confirmation
| Volume-price trend | Below its signal line |
|---|---|
| Confirmation | Marginal |
No absorption or distribution event in the recent window.
Takeaway The heaviest trading has been happening on days when the price falls: when large numbers of shares change hands, the price has tended to go down rather than up. That tells you where the weight of trading has been. It does not tell you what happens next, and it is not a signal to sell.
Options Positioning
No binary-event flag
NOK: no binary-event flag. Near IV 56%, far IV 60% (ratio 0.93), implied move 7.4%.
| Implied volatility | 56% near (10d) · 60% far (80d) |
|---|---|
| Term structure | 0.93× near/far |
| Historical volatility | 50% |
| Implied vs historical | 1.12× |
| Implied move | ±7.4% by 2026-09-11 |
| Implied move vs ATR | 0.64× |
| Skew | Call Skew (0.92×) |
| Call wall | 10.00 (+0.7% away) |
| Put wall | 8.00 (-19.4% away) |
| Gamma pin | 10.00 |
Takeaway Insuring against a move in this stock costs less for the next few weeks than for the next few months, which is the normal state of affairs and suggests no particular date is worrying anyone. Options traders are positioned for a move of around 7.4% in either direction by 2026-09-11.
Chain as at 2026-09-01. This is a risk read on whether a specific event is being priced — not a directional view.
Context & Methodthe record, and how it was builtTop ↑
Relative Rotation
Sector Headwind / Stock Mixed
Rotation health 43.7/100; Negative Rotation.
| Rotation health | 43.7 |
|---|---|
| Rotation strength | 75.4 |
| Leg | Quadrant | RS-Ratio | RS-Mom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock vs sector | Weakening | 112.5 | 80.4 |
| Stock vs SPY | Weakening | 112.1 | 81.0 |
| Sector vs SPY | Weakening | 107.1 | 85.2 |
Direction of travel: South-West / deteriorating rotation
Position only. Brown Bear's RRG redesign programme is closed — five constructions, none beat an appropriate null — so this section describes where the name sits, and is not a signal.
News Headlines
- Loading headlines\u2026
Headlines are supplied by third-party feeds and are not written, ranked or interpreted by Brown Bear. They feed no score on this page.
Detailed Scoring
Positive signals
- Piotroski F-score 5/9 (+10.0)
- Altman Z-score 2.94 (+3.0)
- Gross margin quality: 45.5% (+9.4)
- FCF margin quality: 10.4% (+6.9)
- FCF margin improving by -2.6 pts (+-3.0)
- High earnings quality (accrual ratio -0.038) (+2.0)
- Accrual ratio improving (-0.03 -> -0.04) (+5.0)
- Track 1: MACD histogram state (0.06) (+3.0)
- Track 1: relative strength trend improving (+5.0)
- Track 1: 20-day momentum acceleration 0.16 (+9.0)
- Track 1: ADX 28.7 and flat (+3.0)
- Track 1: relative momentum rank 0.97 (+5.0)
- Track 1: EMA20 slope improving 0.2% (+0.5)
- Track 1: MACD line/signal repair quality (+8.0)
- Track 1: MACD slope improving (+3.0)
- Track 1: EMA200 support proximity 1.4% (+6.0)
- Track 1: Bollinger position 0.42 (+4.7)
Negative signals
- Track 1: bearish DI spread (-2.7)
- Track 1: price below EMA20 by 2.6%
- Track 1: RSI deterioration/extension 42.9, 5-day change -18.2
- Track 1: weak VPT confirmation (-0.01)
- Track 1: price below EMA50 by 7.4%
- Track 1: EMA50 slope deteriorating -2.3%
- Gross margin improving by -0.6 pts (+-3.0)
- ROIC improving by -4.6 pts (+-5.0)
Chase risk is not elevated for this name, so extension penalties are omitted from the negative signals above.